Football · China Super League · 08/08, 13:00
Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua
Team pages: Qingdao Hainiu · Shanghai Shenhua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Qingdao Hainiu1.44
Shanghai Shenhua1.85
1X2
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw
Shanghai Shenhua
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao Hainiu
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Shanghai Shenhua
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Qingdao Hainiu
0–6
Shanghai Shenhua
(6 last)
- Shanghai Shenhua4-1Qingdao Hainiu
- Shanghai Shenhua2-0Qingdao Hainiu
- Qingdao Hainiu0-2Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua3-2Qingdao Hainiu
- Qingdao Hainiu0-1Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-0Qingdao Hainiu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Shenhua (rating 1405 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao Hainiu | Shanghai Shenhua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Hainiu 0–0–6 Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 China FA Cup | Shanghai Shenhua | 4-1 HT 4-1 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 22/04/26 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 23/08/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 16/04/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 28/09/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 15/05/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Qingdao West Coast | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 3 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Dalian Young Boy | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 29 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Henan | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | Liaoning Ironman | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 19 |
| 13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 19 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Qingdao Hainiu | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Zhejiang | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Shenhua (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanghai Shenhua win (46%). Probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu 29%, draw 25%, Shanghai Shenhua 46%.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Qingdao Hainiu 1.44 · Shanghai Shenhua 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.