Football · China Super League · 08/08, 14:00
Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng
Team pages: Yunnan Yukun · Chengdu Rongcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Yunnan Yukun1.86
Chengdu Rongcheng1.91
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
Draw
Chengdu Rongcheng
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yunnan Yukun
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Chengdu Rongcheng
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun
0–2–2
Chengdu Rongcheng
(4 last)
- Yunnan Yukun3-3Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng2-1Yunnan Yukun
- Yunnan Yukun1-5Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng1-1Yunnan Yukun
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengdu Rongcheng (rating 1491 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 3.7 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 0–2–2 Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 China FA Cup | Yunnan Yukun | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 21/04/26 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 23/08/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 16/04/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 29 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 41 | 28 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 28 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Henan | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | Liaoning Ironman | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 19 |
| 13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 19 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Chengdu Rongcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4-3 W | 3-2 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China FA Cup |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China FA Cup |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup |
2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chengdu Rongcheng win (39%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 38%, draw 23%, Chengdu Rongcheng 39%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Yunnan Yukun 1.86 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.91), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.