Football · China Super League · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Team pages: Shandong Taishan · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Shandong Taishan1.73

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.35

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Shandong Taishan Draw Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shandong Taishan 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWLDLW

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Shandong Taishan 4–1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (6 last)

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-2Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan2-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-0Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan4-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-1Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan1-0Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shandong Taishan	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.4	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.73
X	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34	1.73	3.98	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan 4–1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-2 HT 1-0	Shandong Taishan
01/11/25 China Super League	Shandong Taishan	2-1 HT 2-0	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
14/06/25 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-0 HT 1-0	Shandong Taishan
18/10/24 China Super League	Shandong Taishan	4-1 HT 2-0	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
21/05/24 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-1 HT 1-0	Shandong Taishan
18/08/23 China Super League	Shandong Taishan	1-0 HT 0-0	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	21	13	6	2	42	21	45
2	Qingdao West Coast	21	7	10	4	26	29	31
3	Chongqing Tonglianglong	20	7	8	5	23	22	29
4	Dalian Young Boy	20	9	2	9	31	36	29
5	Yunnan Yukun	21	8	4	9	42	41	28
6	Shandong Taishan	21	10	3	8	37	36	27
7	Beijing Guoan	20	8	7	5	34	27	26
8	Zhejiang	21	8	5	8	31	36	24
9	Henan	20	8	4	8	26	25	22
10	Liaoning Ironman	19	6	3	10	25	31	21
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	20	6	2	12	28	37	20
12	Shanghai Port	20	6	6	8	30	27	19
13	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	19
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	20	7	6	7	29	24	17
15	Wuhan Three Towns	20	4	8	8	28	35	15
16	Qingdao Hainiu	21	6	3	12	30	40	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shandong Taishan	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Shanghai Port	1-0 W	1-1 D
Henan	1-2 L	1-2 L
Dalian Young Boy	1-3 L	1-0 W
Yunnan Yukun	4-3 W	3-2 W
Chengdu Rongcheng	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shandong Taishan

DLWWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
26/07	Henan China Super League	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
21/07	Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
18/07	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
10/07	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	3-1	4-3	2	1	W
04/07	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
27/06	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	2-0	5-1	3	1	W
20/06	Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup	2-0	5-0	2	0	W
30/05	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
24/05	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	2-2	3-3	3	8	D

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

LLDWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
25/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
18/07	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
27/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	0-0	0-1	13	2	L
19/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/05	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/05	Shanghai Port China Super League	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
19/05	Henan China Super League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/05	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	1-1	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan win (45%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan 45%, draw 26%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 29%.

How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Shandong Taishan 1.73 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.