Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 24/10, 11:30
Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs FA Tartu Kalev
Team pages: Tabasalu FC Charma · FA Tartu Kalev
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Tabasalu FC Charma1.71
FA Tartu Kalev1.71
1X2
Tabasalu FC Charma
Draw
FA Tartu Kalev
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Tabasalu FC Charma
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FA Tartu Kalev
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tabasalu FC Charma
2–1–3
FA Tartu Kalev
(6 last)
- Tabasalu FC Charma3-1FA Tartu Kalev
- FA Tartu Kalev4-0Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma3-9FA Tartu Kalev
- FA Tartu Kalev1-1Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma2-1FA Tartu Kalev
- FA Tartu Kalev1-0Tabasalu FC Charma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FA Tartu Kalev (rating 1435 vs 1491).
- H2H favours FA Tartu Kalev: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tabasalu FC Charma | FA Tartu Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 2–1–3 FA Tartu Kalev
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 21/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 23/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 3-9 HT 1-4 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 09/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 19/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 08/03/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 70 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 83 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 90 | 62 | 58 |
| 4 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 76 | 76 | 57 |
| 5 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 86 | 67 | 53 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 100 | 67 | 50 |
| 7 | FA Tartu Kalev | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 77 | 64 | 50 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 48 | 86 | 37 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 65 | 82 | 30 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 34 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 27 | 133 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabasalu FC Charma | FA Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FA Tartu Kalev (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabasalu FC Charma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/10 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/09 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-4 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
FA Tartu Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/10 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-5 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/09 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs FA Tartu Kalev?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tabasalu FC Charma win (38%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 38%, draw 24%, FA Tartu Kalev 38%.
How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs FA Tartu Kalev?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.71 · FA Tartu Kalev 1.71), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs FA Tartu Kalev?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.