Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 20/08, 14:00
Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs Johvi FC Phoenix
Team pages: Tabasalu FC Charma · Johvi FC Phoenix
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Tabasalu FC Charma1.54
Johvi FC Phoenix2.04
1X2
Tabasalu FC Charma
Draw
Johvi FC Phoenix
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tabasalu FC Charma
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Johvi FC Phoenix
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tabasalu FC Charma
2–2–2
Johvi FC Phoenix
(6 last)
- Johvi FC Phoenix1-2Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma2-1Johvi FC Phoenix
- Tabasalu FC Charma2-2Johvi FC Phoenix
- Johvi FC Phoenix3-1Tabasalu FC Charma
- Johvi FC Phoenix2-2Tabasalu FC Charma
- Tabasalu FC Charma1-3Johvi FC Phoenix
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tabasalu FC Charma 1521 · Johvi FC Phoenix 1468
| Tabasalu FC Charma | Draw | Johvi FC Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 48% |
| Market | 30% | 20% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabasalu FC Charma (rating 1521 vs 1468).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tabasalu FC Charma | Johvi FC Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 2–2–2 Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 18/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 18/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 16/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 10/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Tabasalu FC Charma |
| 12/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 31 | 44 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 59 | 42 | 44 |
| 3 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 43 | 43 |
| 4 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 51 | 38 |
| 5 | FA Tartu Kalev | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 45 | 37 |
| 6 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 36 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 61 | 52 | 33 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 59 | 28 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 58 | 18 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 81 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabasalu FC Charma | Johvi FC Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabasalu FC Charma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | FC Tamper Estonia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | FC Tallinna Wolves Estonia Cup |
5-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Hell Hunt Estonia Cup |
5-1 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/06 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Johvi FC Phoenix?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Johvi FC Phoenix win (49%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 29%, draw 21%, Johvi FC Phoenix 49%.
How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Johvi FC Phoenix?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.54 · Johvi FC Phoenix 2.04), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Johvi FC Phoenix?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.