Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 19/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Trans Narva II

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 · JK Trans Narva II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

FC Levadia Tallinn U191.91

JK Trans Narva II2.3

1X2

32% 21% 47%

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Draw JK Trans Narva II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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JK Trans Narva II 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 0–1–1 JK Trans Narva II (2 last)

JK Trans Narva II4-4FC Levadia Tallinn U19
FC Levadia Tallinn U190-4JK Trans Narva II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1555 · JK Trans Narva II 1591

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Draw	JK Trans Narva II
Our model	32%	21%	47%
Market	32%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	JK Trans Narva II
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.7	2.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	3.5 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.33

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.82 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.91 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.94

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:50 +9’	2.75	4.33	1.91
09:11 +6’	2.75	4.33	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:31 +1’	2.79	4.03	1.93
16:23 +2’	2.82▲	4.11▲	1.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 0–1–1 JK Trans Narva II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	4-4 HT 4-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
12/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-4 HT 0-2	JK Trans Narva II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	24	14	4	6	65	45	46
2	JK Trans Narva II	23	14	2	7	57	31	44
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	24	14	2	8	59	42	44
4	FA Tartu Kalev	24	13	1	10	64	46	40
5	Johvi FC Phoenix	24	12	3	9	53	53	39
6	JK Viljandi Tulevik	24	11	4	9	60	49	37
7	Parnu JK Vaprus II	24	10	4	10	63	54	34
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	24	9	2	13	37	61	29
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	23	5	3	15	46	58	18
10	Tallinna JK Legion	22	3	1	18	19	84	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	JK Trans Narva II
JK Viljandi Tulevik	4-1 W	2-1 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	3-0 W	5-0 W
Parnu JK Vaprus II	3-2 W	4-1 W
FA Tartu Kalev	0-5 L	3-2 W
JK Tallinna Kalev II	4-1 W	5-0 W
JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-2 W	1-2 L
Johvi FC Phoenix	2-0 W	1-0 W
Tallinna JK Legion	6-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Levadia Tallinn U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
09/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
03/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
19/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
12/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
04/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
22/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
19/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-2	1	4	W
15/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-4	4	6	L
01/06	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	6-0	12	7	W

JK Trans Narva II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-1	3	8	W
01/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
19/07	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	4-1	4	8	W
12/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-2	12	6	L
05/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	14	4	W
22/06	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
18/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-2	8	4	W
31/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	5-0	7	3	W
28/05	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Trans Narva II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Trans Narva II win (47%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 32%, draw 21%, JK Trans Narva II 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model expects 4.21 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1.91 · JK Trans Narva II 2.3), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.