Prediction: Botafogo SP vs Avai
Expected goals: 1.98 (Botafogo SP 1.15 · Avai 0.83). The model gives 42% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Under 2 goals (52%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Botafogo SP is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Avai 3-1-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Botafogo SP and 3 for Avai, with 3 draws.
| Botafogo SP | Draw | Avai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Avai: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo SP | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.6 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo SP 0–3–3 Avai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Avai |
| 29/07/25 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 19/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 31/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 07/10/23 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Avai |
| 11/06/23 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Botafogo SP |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletic Club MG | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | Goias | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Nautico | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| 14 | CRB | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Londrina | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botafogo SP | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Athletic Club MG | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Goias | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Cuiaba | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Botafogo SP (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botafogo SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botafogo SP vs Avai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo SP win (42%). Probabilities: Botafogo SP 42%, draw 32%, Avai 26%.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo SP vs Avai?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Botafogo SP 1.15 · Avai 0.83), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs Avai?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.