Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino vs Atletico GO
Expected goals: 2.17 (Gremio Novorizontino 1.36 · Atletico GO 0.8). The model gives 49% home, 29% draw, 21% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Gremio Novorizontino with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Atletico GO has piled up 3-6-1 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gremio Novorizontino won 0 and Atletico GO 1, with 3 draws.
| Gremio Novorizontino | Draw | Atletico GO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio Novorizontino | Atletico GO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Novorizontino 0–3–1 Atletico GO
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/25 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico GO |
| 04/05/25 Brazil Serie B | Atletico GO | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 02/11/23 Brazil Serie B | Atletico GO | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 08/07/23 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico GO |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletic Club MG | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | Goias | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Nautico | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| 14 | CRB | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Londrina | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gremio Novorizontino | Atletico GO |
|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Goias | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ceara | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gremio Novorizontino (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio Novorizontino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Atletico GO
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 3-3 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 09/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio Novorizontino vs Atletico GO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Novorizontino win (49%). Probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino 49%, draw 29%, Atletico GO 21%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio Novorizontino vs Atletico GO?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Gremio Novorizontino 1.36 · Atletico GO 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio Novorizontino vs Atletico GO?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.