Prediction: Londrina vs CRB
Expected goals: 2.88 (Londrina 1.48 · CRB 1.4). The model gives 37% home, 29% draw, 34% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Londrina with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; CRB has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Londrina and 4 for CRB, with 1 draw.
| Londrina | Draw | CRB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1475 vs 1522).
- H2H favours CRB: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Londrina | CRB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Londrina 1–1–4 CRB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/23 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CRB |
| 01/07/23 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Londrina |
| 31/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CRB |
| 19/05/22 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Londrina |
| 11/11/21 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Londrina |
| 09/08/21 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CRB |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletic Club MG | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | Goias | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Nautico | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| 14 | CRB | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 19 |
| 15 | Ceara | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Londrina | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 15 |
| 18 | Avai | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Londrina | CRB |
|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Fortaleza | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ponte Preta | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Operario PR | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CRB (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Londrina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 20/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 23/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
CRB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 4-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Fortaleza Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Londrina vs CRB?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Londrina win (37%). Probabilities: Londrina 37%, draw 29%, CRB 34%.
How many goals are expected in Londrina vs CRB?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Londrina 1.48 · CRB 1.4), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Londrina vs CRB?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.