Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/07, 00:00
Prediction: America MG vs Ceara
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
America MG1.2
Ceara0.94
1X2
America MG
Draw
Ceara
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
America MG
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Ceara
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America MG
2–2–2
Ceara
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America MG | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America MG 2–2–2 Ceara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Ceara | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America MG |
| 28/07/24 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Ceara |
| 01/10/22 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 1-2 HT 0-1 | America MG |
| 09/06/22 Brazil Serie A | America MG | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ceara |
| 05/12/21 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | America MG |
| 29/08/21 Brazil Serie A | America MG | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ceara |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Bernardo SP | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Goias | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 13 | Nautico | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 20 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America MG | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Operario PR | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Criciuma | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Fortaleza | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| EC Juventude | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ceara (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America MG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
Ceara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 11/06 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 23/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America MG vs Ceara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America MG win (40%). Probabilities: America MG 40%, draw 32%, Ceara 28%.
How many goals are expected in America MG vs Ceara?
The model expects 2.14 goals (America MG 1.2 · Ceara 0.94), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America MG vs Ceara?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.