Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 08/11, 11:30

Prediction: FC Elva vs JK Nomme United II

Team pages: FC Elva · JK Nomme United II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

FC Elva1.73

JK Nomme United II1.39

1X2

45% 26% 30%

FC Elva Draw JK Nomme United II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Elva 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLDDD

JK Nomme United II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Elva 1–2 JK Nomme United II (3 last)

JK Nomme United II0-1FC Elva
JK Nomme United II1-0FC Elva
FC Elva1-3JK Nomme United II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JK Nomme United II: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Elva	JK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.6	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.51.91

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.74 → 3.74	Pinn 3.74
2	2.68 → 2.68	Pinn 2.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +26’	2.09	3.74	2.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elva 1–0–2 JK Nomme United II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Elva
16/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Elva
19/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	1-3 HT 1-0	JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	36	25	5	6	101	45	80
2	Viimsi JK	35	18	6	11	62	35	60
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	35	18	3	14	69	59	57
4	FC Flora Tallinn II	35	16	7	12	78	60	55
5	FC Elva	35	15	9	11	50	51	54
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	35	12	8	15	59	63	44
7	JK Nomme United II	35	12	6	17	58	71	42
8	FC Tallinn	35	10	8	17	44	77	38
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	35	7	5	23	39	85	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Elva	JK Nomme United II
JK Tallinna Kalev	0-0 D	2-1 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	3-3 D	0-1 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	0-0 D	3-2 W
Tartu JK Welco	0-4 L	3-4 L
FC Tallinn	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Flora Tallinn II	2-1 W	2-3 L
Viimsi JK	0-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Nomme United II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Elva

DWWLWDLDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
25/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-3	3	5	D
18/10	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
09/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
19/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
10/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
06/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
24/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

JK Nomme United II

LLLWWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
22/10	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	2-3	4	8	L
18/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	3-4	6	3	L
09/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
21/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	2	5	W
13/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
10/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	16	9	L
24/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Elva vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Elva win (45%). Probabilities: FC Elva 45%, draw 26%, JK Nomme United II 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Elva vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Elva 1.73 · JK Nomme United II 1.39), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Elva vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.