Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 08/11, 11:30

Prediction: FC Tallinn vs JK Tallinna Kalev

Team pages: FC Tallinn · JK Tallinna Kalev

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

FC Tallinn2.08

JK Tallinna Kalev1.64

1X2

47% 23% 30%

FC Tallinn Draw JK Tallinna Kalev

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Tallinn 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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JK Tallinna Kalev 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Tallinn 0–2–2 JK Tallinna Kalev (4 last)

JK Tallinna Kalev1-1FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn1-1JK Tallinna Kalev
JK Tallinna Kalev5-1FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn0-5JK Tallinna Kalev

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JK Tallinna Kalev: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Tallinn	JK Tallinna Kalev
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	3.6 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.87

Under 3.751.84

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.25
X	4.09 → 4.09	Pinn 4.09
2	1.76 → 1.76	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:48 +20’	3.25	4.09	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tallinn 0–2–2 JK Tallinna Kalev

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Tallinn
14/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Tallinn	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Tallinna Kalev
15/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev	5-1 HT 0-1	FC Tallinn
05/03/25 Estonia Cup	FC Tallinn	0-5 HT 0-3	JK Tallinna Kalev

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	36	25	5	6	101	45	80
2	Viimsi JK	35	18	6	11	62	35	60
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	35	18	3	14	69	59	57
4	FC Flora Tallinn II	35	16	7	12	78	60	55
5	FC Elva	35	15	9	11	50	51	54
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	35	12	8	15	59	63	44
7	JK Nomme United II	35	12	6	17	58	71	42
8	FC Tallinn	35	10	8	17	44	77	38
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	35	7	5	23	39	85	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Tallinn	JK Tallinna Kalev
JK Nomme United II	1-3 L	1-2 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-1 W	3-1 W
Viimsi JK	0-3 L	1-2 L
Tartu JK Welco	0-7 L	2-3 L
FC Flora Tallinn II	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Elva	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-5 L	1-2 L
Maardu Linnameeskond	4-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Tallinn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
24/10	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-1	2-1	7	5	W
19/10	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
15/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-4	0-7	2	6	L
10/10	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
13/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
10/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	4-0	5	2	W
03/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
29/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L

JK Tallinna Kalev

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
29/10	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	3-1	4	7	W
23/10	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	2-3	7	5	L
19/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
10/10	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
18/09	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-2	7	2	D
10/09	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	9	6	L
05/09	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
29/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-3	0-5	6	3	L
24/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Tallinn vs JK Tallinna Kalev?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tallinn win (47%). Probabilities: FC Tallinn 47%, draw 23%, JK Tallinna Kalev 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Tallinn vs JK Tallinna Kalev?

The model expects 3.72 goals (FC Tallinn 2.08 · JK Tallinna Kalev 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Tallinn vs JK Tallinna Kalev?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.