Prediction: Leones FC vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Expected goals: 2.52 (Leones FC 1.41 · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.1). The model gives 43% home, 29% draw, 28% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Leones FC is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 4-1-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Leones FC won 0 and Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.

43%1
43% 29% 28%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.52Leones FC 1.41 · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.1
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leones FCUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.12.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.34.5 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones FC 001 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador3-0
HT 1-0
Leones FC

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente del Valle 171313 361840
2 Barcelona Guayaquil 17854 201329
3 LDU Quito 17836 191427
4 Deportivo Cuenca 17836 181927
5 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 16754 261426
6 SD Aucas 16754 191626
7 Macara 17656 161823
8 Emelec 17656 141723
9 Orense 16646 212222
10 Tecnico Universitario 16628 171620
11 Leones FC 17557 181920
12 Guayaquil City 16547 141919
13 Mushuc Runa 16466 192118
14 Delfin SC 17458 91617
15 Club Atletico Libertad 17458 172517
16 Manta FC 173311 72312

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeones FCUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador
Club Atletico Libertad 3-1 W 2-0 W
Macara 1-1 D 4-0 W
Orense 0-2 L 2-1 W
Emelec 2-0 W 0-1 L
Independiente del Valle 1-2 L 0-3 L
Manta FC 3-0 W 0-1 L
SD Aucas 0-1 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Leones FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leones FC

LWLWLWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
2-1 3-1 76 W
02/06 Macara
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 1-1 44 D
30/05 Huaquillas FC
Ecuador Cup
1-0 1-0 27 W
24/05 Tecnico Universitario
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 1-2 14 L
17/05 Mushuc Runa
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
2-1 3-1 44 W
09/05 Orense
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 0-2 47 L
04/05 Emelec
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-0 2-0 36 W
25/04 Independiente del Valle
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 1-2 55 L
22/04 Manta FC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
2-0 3-0 65 W
18/04 SD Aucas
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 0-1 55 L

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

WWLLLLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 Emelec
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 0-1 54 L
29/05 El Nacional
Ecuador Cup
1-1 4-1 36 W
23/05 Orense
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 2-1 56 W
16/05 Delfin SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 2-2 75 D
14/05 Independiente del Valle
Ecuador Super Cup
0-2 0-3 58 L
09/05 SD Aucas
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-1 1-2 32 L
01/05 Independiente del Valle
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
1-3 2-3 117 L
27/04 Manta FC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-1 0-1 27 L
24/04 Macara
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 4-0 33 W
18/04 Club Atletico Libertad
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
0-0 2-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leones FC vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones FC win (43%). Probabilities: Leones FC 43%, draw 29%, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 28%.

How many goals are expected in Leones FC vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Leones FC 1.41 · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Leones FC vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.