Prediction: Tampere Utd vs SalPa
Expected goals: 3.3 (Tampere Utd 2.05 · SalPa 1.25). The model gives 55% home, 23% draw, 22% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Tampere Utd is 8-2-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SalPa 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tampere Utd won 1 and SalPa 5.
| Tampere Utd | Draw | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1604 vs 1522).
- H2H favours SalPa: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampere Utd | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 6.1 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 1–0–5 SalPa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | SalPa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tampere Utd |
| 01/04/23 Europe Friendlies | SalPa | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Tampere Utd |
| 23/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | SalPa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tampere Utd |
| 30/04/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampere Utd | 4-1 HT 3-1 | SalPa |
| 17/08/19 Finland Kakkonen Group B | Tampere Utd | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SalPa |
| 02/06/19 Finland Kakkonen Group B | SalPa | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Tampere Utd |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere Utd | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | RoPS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | JJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 24 |
| 4 | OLS | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | SalPa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 20 |
| 6 | PK Keski-Uusimaa | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | VJS Vantaa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Inter II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Jazz | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 10 | TPV | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 11 | KUPS Akatemia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 8 |
| 12 | KPV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampere Utd | SalPa |
|---|---|---|
| KUPS Akatemia | 3-2 W | 4-3 W |
| FC Jazz | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| OLS | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| RoPS | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| TPV | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| JJK | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| KPV | 6-0 W | 6-0 W |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampere Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | EBK Finland Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
SalPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | TPS Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs SalPa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (55%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 55%, draw 23%, SalPa 22%.
How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs SalPa?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Tampere Utd 2.05 · SalPa 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs SalPa?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.