Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/07, 15:00

Prediction: TPV vs KUPS Akatemia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
TPV2.01
KUPS Akatemia1.56
1X2
47% 24% 29%
TPV Draw KUPS Akatemia
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
TPV 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLLDDLWW
KUPS Akatemia 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLDLD
Head-to-head
TPV 0–1 KUPS Akatemia (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TPV 1461 · KUPS Akatemia 1443
TPVDrawKUPS Akatemia
Our model47%23%29%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TPVKUPS Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.8 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.52.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.43.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV 001 KUPS Akatemia

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia3-0
HT 1-0
TPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 141013 28931
2 RoPS 14842 301528
3 JJK 15744 392625
4 SalPa 14653 292423
5 OLS 15645 292222
6 PK Keski-Uusimaa 13634 261821
7 VJS Vantaa 13553 251820
8 FC Inter II 14437 253915
9 FC Jazz 14527 152214
10 TPV 14347 162413
11 KUPS Akatemia 14239 24349
12 KPV 142210 12478

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTPVKUPS Akatemia
KPV 3-1 W 4-1 W
JJK 1-0 W 4-4 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa 2-2 D 0-3 L
FC Inter II 1-1 D 2-4 L
Tampere Utd 0-3 L 2-3 L
SalPa 2-4 L 3-4 L
OLS 2-2 D 2-2 D
RoPS 0-1 L 0-1 L
FC Jazz 0-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: KUPS Akatemia (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TPV

LLDLLDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-1 73 W
05/07 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-0 85 W
29/06 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 41 L
14/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-2 58 D
06/06 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-1 75 D
29/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-3 0-3 21 L
23/05 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-3 2-4 83 L
16/05 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 2-2 85 D
09/05 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 103 L
02/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-2 61 L

KUPS Akatemia

LLLLLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
2-2 4-4 67 D
04/07 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-3 68 L
28/06 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 2-2 34 D
12/06 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-3 3-4 54 L
05/06 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 4-1 44 W
29/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 0-3 24 L
24/05 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 11 L
17/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-4 143 L
13/05 FC Honka
Finland Cup
0-0 0-1 52 L
09/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV win (47%). Probabilities: TPV 47%, draw 24%, KUPS Akatemia 29%.

How many goals are expected in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model expects 3.56 goals (TPV 2.01 · KUPS Akatemia 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TPV vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.