Football · Finland Ykkonen · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: FC Inter II vs SalPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.32Total

FC Inter II1.7

SalPa2.62

1X2

23% 20% 56%

FC Inter II Draw SalPa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDDLWL

SalPa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWDDW

Head-to-head

FC Inter II 1–0 SalPa (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1477 · SalPa 1532

	FC Inter II	Draw	SalPa
Our model	24%	19%	57%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.32 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SalPa (rating 1477 vs 1532).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter II	SalPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.8	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 1–0–0 SalPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Finland Ykkonen	SalPa	2-3 HT 0-1	FC Inter II

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	14	10	1	3	28	9	31
2	RoPS	14	8	4	2	30	15	28
3	JJK	15	7	4	4	39	26	25
4	SalPa	14	6	5	3	29	24	23
5	OLS	15	6	4	5	29	22	22
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	13	6	3	4	26	18	21
7	VJS Vantaa	13	5	5	3	25	18	20
8	FC Inter II	14	4	3	7	25	39	15
9	FC Jazz	14	5	2	7	15	22	14
10	TPV	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
11	KUPS Akatemia	14	2	3	9	24	34	9
12	KPV	14	2	2	10	12	47	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter II	SalPa
RoPS	0-2 L	2-2 D
OLS	3-1 W	0-5 L
JJK	1-11 L	2-2 D
FC Jazz	1-1 D	2-1 W
TPV	1-1 D	4-2 W
KPV	2-4 L	6-0 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-1 W	0-2 L
KUPS Akatemia	4-2 W	4-3 W
VJS Vantaa	2-3 L	2-2 D
Tampere Utd	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SalPa (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter II

LLWWLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	8	L
12/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
29/05	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-4	2	6	L
24/05	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
17/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-2	2	3	W
09/05	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-3	5	6	L
02/05	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	13	4	L

SalPa

LWDWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
04/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	6	5	D
27/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	0	3	D
12/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	3-1	4-3	9	4	W
06/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
28/05	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
23/05	TPV Finland Ykkonen	3-1	4-2	5	3	W
16/05	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
09/05	KPV Finland Ykkonen	4-0	6-0	6	1	W
02/05	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs SalPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SalPa win (56%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 23%, draw 20%, SalPa 56%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs SalPa?

The model expects 4.32 goals (FC Inter II 1.7 · SalPa 2.62), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs SalPa?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.