Football · Finland Ykkonen · 20/07, 17:30

Prediction: KPV vs RoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

KPV1.09

RoPS2.76

1X2

12% 16% 72%

KPV Draw RoPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

KPV 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLWL

RoPS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLWDWW

Head-to-head

KPV 3–2–1 RoPS (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPV 1413 · RoPS 1530

	KPV	Draw	RoPS
Our model	12%	17%	72%
Market	12%	16%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RoPS (rating 1413 vs 1530).
H2H favours KPV: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KPV	RoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 3.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV 3–2–1 RoPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	7-0 HT 3-0	KPV
06/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	KPV	5-0 HT 3-0	RoPS
24/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	2-2 HT 2-0	KPV
07/05/25 Finland Cup	KPV	1-1 HT 0-1	RoPS
15/09/24 Finland Ykkonen	KPV	3-1 HT 2-1	RoPS
19/06/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-2 HT 1-1	KPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	14	10	1	3	28	9	31
2	RoPS	14	8	4	2	30	15	28
3	JJK	15	7	4	4	39	26	25
4	SalPa	14	6	5	3	29	24	23
5	OLS	15	6	4	5	29	22	22
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	13	6	3	4	26	18	21
7	VJS Vantaa	13	5	5	3	25	18	20
8	FC Inter II	14	4	3	7	25	39	15
9	FC Jazz	14	5	2	7	15	22	14
10	TPV	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
11	KUPS Akatemia	14	2	3	9	24	34	9
12	KPV	14	2	2	10	12	47	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPV	RoPS
TPV	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Jazz	1-0 W	1-2 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-3 L	4-3 W
KUPS Akatemia	1-4 L	1-0 W
FC Inter II	4-2 W	2-0 W
VJS Vantaa	0-5 L	2-0 W
Tampere Utd	0-6 L	0-1 L
SalPa	0-6 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KPV

LLLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
02/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
28/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
13/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-3	4	1	L
05/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
29/05	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-2	7	6	W
23/05	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-4	0-5	2	6	L
16/05	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-6	2	0	L
13/05	SJK II Finland Cup	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
09/05	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-4	0-6	2	1	L

RoPS

WLLWDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W
27/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
13/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
06/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
16/05	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
13/05	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
09/05	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPV vs RoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RoPS win (72%). Probabilities: KPV 12%, draw 16%, RoPS 72%.

How many goals are expected in KPV vs RoPS?

The model expects 3.84 goals (KPV 1.09 · RoPS 2.76), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KPV vs RoPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.