Prediction: KPV vs TPV
Expected goals: 3.22 (KPV 1.4 · TPV 1.82). The model gives 29% home, 24% draw, 47% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, KPV sits at 2-0-8 (W-D-L), while TPV arrives on a 1-3-6 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KPV won 0 and TPV 0, with 2 draws.
| KPV | Draw | TPV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 25% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KPV | TPV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.5 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 3.1 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV 0–2–0 TPV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | TPV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KPV |
| 19/01/18 Finland Cup | KPV | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TPV |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere Utd | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | RoPS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | JJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 24 |
| 4 | OLS | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | SalPa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 20 |
| 6 | PK Keski-Uusimaa | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | VJS Vantaa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Inter II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Jazz | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 10 | TPV | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 11 | KUPS Akatemia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 8 |
| 12 | KPV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KPV | TPV |
|---|---|---|
| FC Jazz | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| JJK | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| KUPS Akatemia | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Inter II | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| VJS Vantaa | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Tampere Utd | 0-6 L | 0-3 L |
| SalPa | 0-6 L | 2-4 L |
| OLS | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 7 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: TPV (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | SJK II Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
TPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/06 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KPV vs TPV?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TPV win (47%). Probabilities: KPV 29%, draw 24%, TPV 47%.
How many goals are expected in KPV vs TPV?
The model expects 3.22 goals (KPV 1.4 · TPV 1.82), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KPV vs TPV?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.