Football · Finland Ykkonen · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: JJK vs KUPS Akatemia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
JJK2.61
KUPS Akatemia1.17
1X2
68% 18% 14%
JJK Draw KUPS Akatemia
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
JJK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLWDLWWL
KUPS Akatemia 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLWLDL
Head-to-head
JJK 3–1–2 KUPS Akatemia (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJK 1502 · KUPS Akatemia 1453
JJKDrawKUPS Akatemia
Our model67%18%14%
Market68%18%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JJK (rating 1502 vs 1453).
  • H2H favours JJK: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JJKKUPS Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.71.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.60.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.52.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.13.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · JJK 312 KUPS Akatemia

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/04/26
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia1-2
HT 0-0
JJK
19/09/25
Finland Ykkonen
JJK1-2
HT 0-2
KUPS Akatemia
18/06/25
Finland Ykkonen
JJK2-1
HT 0-1
KUPS Akatemia
16/04/25
Finland Cup
KUPS Akatemia3-3
HT 3-1
JJK
11/04/25
Finland Ykkonen
KUPS Akatemia2-1
HT 0-1
JJK
15/09/24
Finland Ykkonen
JJK1-0
HT 0-0
KUPS Akatemia

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 131012 28831
2 RoPS 13742 281525
3 JJK 14734 352224
4 OLS 14644 261822
5 SalPa 13553 282420
6 PK Keski-Uusimaa 12534 241718
7 VJS Vantaa 12453 211517
8 FC Inter II 13436 253715
9 FC Jazz 13526 142014
10 TPV 13247 132310
11 KUPS Akatemia 13229 20308
12 KPV 13229 11448

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJJKKUPS Akatemia
FC Inter II 11-1 W 2-4 L
KPV 3-2 W 4-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa 1-3 L 0-3 L
VJS Vantaa 2-2 D 0-0 D
OLS 1-0 W 2-2 D
Tampere Utd 0-1 L 2-3 L
SalPa 2-2 D 3-4 L
RoPS 3-3 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JJK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJK

DLDLWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-1 65 L
25/06 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
6-0 11-1 108 W
13/06 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-2 121 W
06/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-3 65 L
02/06 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 2-2 65 D
28/05 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 56 W
22/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 63 L
16/05 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 2-2 44 D
09/05 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-2 56 L
02/05 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 3-3 56 D

KUPS Akatemia

DLLLLLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-3 68 L
28/06 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
1-2 2-2 34 D
12/06 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-3 3-4 54 L
05/06 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 4-1 44 W
29/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 0-3 24 L
24/05 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 11 L
17/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-4 143 L
13/05 FC Honka
Finland Cup
0-0 0-1 52 L
09/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 63 L
02/05 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-0 56 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJK vs KUPS Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JJK win (68%). Probabilities: JJK 68%, draw 18%, KUPS Akatemia 14%.

How many goals are expected in JJK vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model expects 3.78 goals (JJK 2.61 · KUPS Akatemia 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JJK vs KUPS Akatemia?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.