Prediction: SalPa vs VJS Vantaa
Expected goals: 3.59 (SalPa 1.86 · VJS Vantaa 1.72). The model gives 41% home, 24% draw, 35% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, SalPa sits at 4-3-3 (W-D-L), while VJS Vantaa arrives on a 4-4-2 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, SalPa won 3 and VJS Vantaa 1, with 1 draw.
| SalPa | Draw | VJS Vantaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours SalPa: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SalPa | VJS Vantaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 3.4 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SalPa 3–1–1 VJS Vantaa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | VJS Vantaa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SalPa |
| 20/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | VJS Vantaa | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SalPa |
| 29/05/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | SalPa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | VJS Vantaa |
| 16/10/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | VJS Vantaa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SalPa |
| 30/06/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | SalPa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | VJS Vantaa |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere Utd | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | JJK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 24 |
| 3 | RoPS | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | OLS | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | SalPa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | PK Keski-Uusimaa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | VJS Vantaa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Jazz | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Inter II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 12 |
| 10 | KUPS Akatemia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 8 |
| 11 | KPV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 8 |
| 12 | TPV | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SalPa | VJS Vantaa |
|---|---|---|
| RoPS | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| KUPS Akatemia | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Jazz | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| TPV | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| JJK | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| KPV | 6-0 W | 5-0 W |
| FC Inter II | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: SalPa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SalPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | TPS Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
VJS Vantaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 18 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 02/06 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | FF Jaro Finland Cup |
2-0 | 5-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | FC Futura Finland Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SalPa vs VJS Vantaa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SalPa win (41%). Probabilities: SalPa 41%, draw 24%, VJS Vantaa 35%.
How many goals are expected in SalPa vs VJS Vantaa?
The model expects 3.59 goals (SalPa 1.86 · VJS Vantaa 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SalPa vs VJS Vantaa?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.