Prediction: TPV vs JJK
Expected goals: 3.72 (TPV 1.44 · JJK 2.27). The model gives 23% home, 22% draw, 55% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, TPV is 0-3-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and JJK 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for TPV and 1 for JJK, with 1 draw.
| TPV | Draw | JJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 22% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JJK (rating 1421 vs 1505).
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPV | JJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 2.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.6 | 2.6 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV 0–1–1 JJK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | JJK | 2-1 HT 0-1 | TPV |
| 18/01/26 Europe Friendlies | TPV | 2-2 HT 1-1 | JJK |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere Utd | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | JJK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 24 |
| 3 | RoPS | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | OLS | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | SalPa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | PK Keski-Uusimaa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | VJS Vantaa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Jazz | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Inter II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 12 |
| 10 | KUPS Akatemia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 8 |
| 11 | KPV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 8 |
| 12 | TPV | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPV | JJK |
|---|---|---|
| VJS Vantaa | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| FC Inter II | 1-1 D | 11-1 W |
| Tampere Utd | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| SalPa | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| OLS | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| RoPS | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: JJK (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
JJK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
6-0 | 11-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/04 | PEPO Finland Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPV vs JJK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JJK win (55%). Probabilities: TPV 23%, draw 22%, JJK 55%.
How many goals are expected in TPV vs JJK?
The model expects 3.72 goals (TPV 1.44 · JJK 2.27), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in TPV vs JJK?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.