Prediction: KUPS Akatemia vs Tampere Utd
Expected goals: 2.91 (KUPS Akatemia 1.15 · Tampere Utd 1.75). The model gives 24% home, 25% draw, 51% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves KUPS Akatemia with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Tampere Utd has piled up 8-2-0 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, KUPS Akatemia won 3 and Tampere Utd 1.
| KUPS Akatemia | Draw | Tampere Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 24% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1462 vs 1608).
- H2H favours KUPS Akatemia: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KUPS Akatemia | Tampere Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 4.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KUPS Akatemia 3–0–1 Tampere Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Ykkonen | Tampere Utd | 4-0 HT 2-0 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 28/09/25 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tampere Utd |
| 15/08/25 Finland Ykkonen | Tampere Utd | 1-2 HT 0-2 | KUPS Akatemia |
| 08/06/25 Finland Ykkonen | KUPS Akatemia | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Tampere Utd |
Standings · Finland Ykkonen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere Utd | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | JJK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 24 |
| 3 | RoPS | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | OLS | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | SalPa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | PK Keski-Uusimaa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | VJS Vantaa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Jazz | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Inter II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 12 |
| 10 | KUPS Akatemia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 8 |
| 11 | KPV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 8 |
| 12 | TPV | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KUPS Akatemia | Tampere Utd |
|---|---|---|
| OLS | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| KPV | 4-1 W | 6-0 W |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| RoPS | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Inter II | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Jazz | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KUPS Akatemia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/06 | SalPa Finland Ykkonen |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
0-2 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/04 | Huima/Urho Finland Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Tampere Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | OLS Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | RoPS Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | TPV Finland Ykkonen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | JJK Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | KPV Finland Ykkonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | EBK Finland Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Narpes Kraft Finland Cup |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KUPS Akatemia vs Tampere Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampere Utd win (51%). Probabilities: KUPS Akatemia 24%, draw 25%, Tampere Utd 51%.
How many goals are expected in KUPS Akatemia vs Tampere Utd?
The model expects 2.91 goals (KUPS Akatemia 1.15 · Tampere Utd 1.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KUPS Akatemia vs Tampere Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.