Football · Finland Ykkonen · 05/07, 15:00

Prediction: RoPS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa

Expected goals: 3.01 (RoPS 1.93 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.08). The model gives 57% home, 23% draw, 20% away. Under 3.5 goals (58%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, RoPS is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for RoPS and 3 for PK Keski-Uusimaa, with 1 draw.

57%1
57% 23% 20%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RoPS 1525 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1507
RoPSDrawPK Keski-Uusimaa
Our model56%24%20%
Market57%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.01RoPS 1.93 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.08
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 58%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours PK Keski-Uusimaa: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RoPSPK Keski-Uusimaa
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 62.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.44.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPS 213 PK Keski-Uusimaa

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Finland Ykkonen
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-2
HT 0-1
RoPS
13/09/25
Finland Ykkonen
PK Keski-Uusimaa2-2
HT 0-1
RoPS
02/07/25
Finland Ykkonen
PK Keski-Uusimaa0-4
HT 0-1
RoPS
12/04/25
Finland Ykkonen
RoPS0-5
HT 0-3
PK Keski-Uusimaa
03/08/24
Finland Ykkonen
RoPS2-3
HT 2-2
PK Keski-Uusimaa
22/05/24
Finland Ykkonen
PK Keski-Uusimaa3-0
HT 1-0
RoPS

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 12912 25628
2 JJK 13733 352124
3 RoPS 12642 241222
4 OLS 13643 251522
5 SalPa 12543 262219
6 PK Keski-Uusimaa 11533 211318
7 VJS Vantaa 11443 191316
8 FC Jazz 13526 142014
9 FC Inter II 12336 223612
10 KUPS Akatemia 12228 18278
11 KPV 13229 11448
12 TPV 12147 12237

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoPSPK Keski-Uusimaa
SalPa 2-2 D 2-0 W
Tampere Utd 0-1 L 0-0 D
OLS 1-1 D 0-2 L
KUPS Akatemia 1-0 W 3-0 W
TPV 1-0 W 2-2 D
JJK 3-3 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RoPS

WDWLLWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 2-2 123 D
13/06 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-0 33 W
06/06 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 L
02/06 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-1 D
24/05 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 81 W
16/05 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-2 74 L
13/05 HJK Helsinki
Finland Cup
0-2 0-4 11 L
09/05 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/05 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 3-3 76 D
29/04 FC Ylivieska
Finland Cup
1-0 1-0 65 W

PK Keski-Uusimaa

LLLWDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 KPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 3-1 115 W
14/06 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 2-2 48 D
06/06 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 3-1 65 W
29/05 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 94 W
24/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 65 L
09/05 Tampere Utd
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-0 24 D
02/05 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 2-0 16 W
25/04 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-2 133 L
18/04 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 0-2 46 L
15/04 KaPa
Finland Cup
0-1 2-3 06 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RoPS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPS win (57%). Probabilities: RoPS 57%, draw 23%, PK Keski-Uusimaa 20%.

How many goals are expected in RoPS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model expects 3.01 goals (RoPS 1.93 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.08), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RoPS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.