Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs Atvidabergs FF

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · Atvidabergs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.27

Atvidabergs FF1.1

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw Atvidabergs FF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDDWLD

Atvidabergs FF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 1–1 Atvidabergs FF (2 last)

Atvidabergs FF1-0Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra1-0Atvidabergs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1472 · Atvidabergs FF 1548

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	Atvidabergs FF
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atvidabergs FF (rating 1472 vs 1548).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	Atvidabergs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.21
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.96 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +24’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +40’	2.21	3.31	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 1–0–1 Atvidabergs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	1-0 HT 1-0	Jonkopings Sodra
28/01/23 Club Friendly List	Jonkopings Sodra	1-0 HT 1-0	Atvidabergs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	21	12	6	3	44	24	42
2	Hässleholms IF	21	12	3	6	41	26	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	21	11	6	4	45	32	39
4	Lunds BK	21	10	8	3	44	26	38
5	FC Rosengård 1917	21	9	7	5	35	28	34
6	Tvååkers IF	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	21	8	8	5	39	31	32
8	FC Trollhättan	21	7	7	7	33	33	28
9	Jonkopings Sodra	21	7	6	8	25	20	27
10	Skövde AIK	21	6	9	6	23	29	27
11	BK Olympic	21	8	2	11	38	43	26
12	Eskilsminne IF	21	7	4	10	32	38	25
13	Kristianstad FC	21	5	6	10	25	33	21
14	Laholms FK	21	6	3	12	28	38	21
15	Angelholm	21	3	8	10	25	39	17
16	Utsiktens BK	21	1	5	15	17	54	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	Atvidabergs FF
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	2-5 L
Tvååkers IF	0-1 L	2-1 W
Angelholm	1-0 W	4-1 W
FC Rosengård 1917	0-0 D	3-3 D
BK Olympic	2-0 W	3-2 W
Ariana FC Malmo	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atvidabergs FF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonkopings Sodra

LDLLWDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
22/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	0	3	L
27/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
18/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L

Atvidabergs FF

WWDLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	3-2	1	2	W
05/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
29/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-5	6	3	L
22/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
16/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L
27/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
17/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
13/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs Atvidabergs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonkopings Sodra win (40%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 40%, draw 28%, Atvidabergs FF 32%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.27 · Atvidabergs FF 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.