Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad FC

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Kristianstad FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Trelleborgs FF2.06

Kristianstad FC0.81

1X2

66% 21% 13%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Kristianstad FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Kristianstad FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 2–1–0 Kristianstad FC (3 last)

Kristianstad FC0-0Trelleborgs FF
Kristianstad FC2-4Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF4-3Kristianstad FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1558 · Kristianstad FC 1486

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Kristianstad FC
Our model	66%	22%	13%
Market	67%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1558 vs 1486).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Kristianstad FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.1	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +35’	1.33	4.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 2–1–0 Kristianstad FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Trelleborgs FF
24/08/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	2-4 HT 0-3	Trelleborgs FF
08/06/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	4-3 HT 1-2	Kristianstad FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	25	16	6	3	55	28	54
2	Atvidabergs FF	25	13	7	5	49	35	46
3	Hässleholms IF	25	14	3	8	46	30	45
4	Lunds BK	25	11	8	6	46	29	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45	35	41
6	FC Trollhättan	25	10	8	7	42	37	38
7	FC Rosengård 1917	25	10	8	7	41	37	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	25	9	6	10	29	26	33
9	Tvååkers IF	25	9	6	10	33	39	33
10	Skövde AIK	25	8	9	8	31	38	33
11	Eskilsminne IF	25	9	5	11	40	44	32
12	BK Olympic	25	9	3	13	41	48	30
13	Kristianstad FC	25	7	6	12	29	37	27
14	Laholms FK	25	7	4	14	32	43	25
15	Angelholm	25	4	9	12	31	47	21
16	Utsiktens BK	25	2	6	17	23	60	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Kristianstad FC
BK Olympic	2-0 W	0-1 L
Angelholm	4-1 W	1-0 W
Tvååkers IF	1-0 W	1-2 L
Hässleholms IF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Skövde AIK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Ariana FC Malmo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
27/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W

Kristianstad FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
25/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
20/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
17/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
13/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
29/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
23/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
15/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
07/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (66%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 66%, draw 21%, Kristianstad FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad FC?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Trelleborgs FF 2.06 · Kristianstad FC 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.