Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Atvidabergs FF

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Atvidabergs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Trelleborgs FF1.96

Atvidabergs FF1.37

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Atvidabergs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWW

Atvidabergs FF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWDDL

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 4–1–1 Atvidabergs FF (6 last)

Atvidabergs FF1-2Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF3-0Atvidabergs FF
Trelleborgs FF4-0Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF1-1Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF5-2Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF2-0Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1592 · Atvidabergs FF 1499

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Atvidabergs FF
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1592 vs 1499).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Atvidabergs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.2	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.38 ★
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.76

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:28 +6’	1.80	3.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:49 +3’	1.65	4.24	3.66
19:53 +64’	1.67▲	4.38▲	3.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 4–1–1 Atvidabergs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	1-2 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF
03/03/18 Sweden Cup	Trelleborgs FF	3-0 HT 0-0	Atvidabergs FF
22/10/17 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	4-0 HT 2-0	Atvidabergs FF
20/05/17 Sweden Superettan	Atvidabergs FF	1-1 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
15/08/16 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	5-2 HT 2-1	Atvidabergs FF
07/05/16 Sweden Superettan	Atvidabergs FF	2-0 HT 0-0	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	27	18	6	3	61	30	60
2	Hässleholms IF	27	16	3	8	49	31	51
3	Atvidabergs FF	27	13	8	6	51	38	47
4	Lunds BK	27	12	8	7	52	36	44
5	Ariana FC Malmo	27	12	8	7	50	39	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	27	10	10	7	43	39	40
7	FC Trollhättan	27	10	8	9	46	44	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	27	10	6	11	31	28	36
9	BK Olympic	27	11	3	13	52	51	36
10	Tvååkers IF	27	9	8	10	35	41	35
11	Skövde AIK	27	8	10	9	35	44	34
12	Eskilsminne IF	27	9	6	12	44	53	33
13	Kristianstad FC	27	8	6	13	32	40	30
14	Laholms FK	27	8	5	14	34	44	29
15	Angelholm	27	5	9	13	33	48	24
16	Utsiktens BK	27	2	6	19	24	66	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Atvidabergs FF
Lunds BK	4-2 W	1-0 W
Kristianstad FC	2-0 W	2-5 L
BK Olympic	2-0 W	3-2 W
Angelholm	4-1 W	4-1 W
FC Rosengård 1917	4-3 W	1-1 D
Hässleholms IF	2-1 W	1-2 L
FC Trollhättan	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trelleborgs FF

LWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	4-2	16	6	W
10/10	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	6	W
04/10	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
27/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L

Atvidabergs FF

WLDWLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	8	L
10/10	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
16/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
12/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	3-2	1	2	W
05/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
29/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-5	6	3	L
22/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Atvidabergs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (50%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 50%, draw 24%, Atvidabergs FF 26%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Trelleborgs FF 1.96 · Atvidabergs FF 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.