Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs Jonkopings Sodra

Team pages: Lunds BK · Jonkopings Sodra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Lunds BK1.6

Jonkopings Sodra1.07

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Lunds BK Draw Jonkopings Sodra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLWLW

Jonkopings Sodra 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 1–1–3 Jonkopings Sodra (5 last)

Jonkopings Sodra0-0Lunds BK
Lunds BK1-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra2-0Lunds BK
Jonkopings Sodra3-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-0Jonkopings Sodra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1508 · Jonkopings Sodra 1509

	Lunds BK	Draw	Jonkopings Sodra
Our model	48%	27%	24%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	Jonkopings Sodra
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.9	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:26 +9’	1.80	3.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 1–1–3 Jonkopings Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	0-0 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
14/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
30/03/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	2-0 HT 1-0	Lunds BK
21/09/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	3-1 HT 0-1	Lunds BK
01/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-0 HT 0-0	Jonkopings Sodra

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	28	19	6	3	64	31	63
2	Hässleholms IF	28	16	4	8	50	32	52
3	Lunds BK	28	13	8	7	56	37	47
4	Atvidabergs FF	28	13	8	7	52	41	47
5	Ariana FC Malmo	28	12	8	8	52	42	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	28	10	10	8	44	41	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	28	11	6	11	35	30	39
8	FC Trollhättan	28	10	8	10	48	48	38
9	Tvååkers IF	28	10	8	10	39	42	38
10	BK Olympic	28	11	3	14	53	56	36
11	Skövde AIK	28	8	11	9	36	45	35
12	Kristianstad FC	28	9	6	13	34	41	33
13	Eskilsminne IF	28	9	6	13	45	57	33
14	Laholms FK	28	9	5	14	39	45	32
15	Angelholm	28	6	9	13	36	50	27
16	Utsiktens BK	28	2	6	20	25	70	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	Jonkopings Sodra
Eskilsminne IF	4-1 W	0-1 L
FC Trollhättan	4-3 W	4-2 W
Kristianstad FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Atvidabergs FF	0-1 L	1-0 W
Angelholm	2-0 W	1-0 W
Utsiktens BK	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lunds BK

WDWWLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
16/10	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-4	0	6	L
10/10	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-3	5	3	W
02/10	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
25/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
19/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
11/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W

Jonkopings Sodra

WLDWWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	5	4	W
17/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
10/10	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
26/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
21/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs Jonkopings Sodra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (49%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 49%, draw 26%, Jonkopings Sodra 25%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Lunds BK 1.6 · Jonkopings Sodra 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.