Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Angelholm vs Tvååkers IF

Team pages: Angelholm · Tvååkers IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Angelholm1.87

Tvååkers IF1.29

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Angelholm Draw Tvååkers IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Angelholm 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWWLW

Tvååkers IF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLDDW

Head-to-head

Angelholm 2–2–2 Tvååkers IF (6 last)

Tvååkers IF3-2Angelholm
Tvååkers IF0-1Angelholm
Angelholm0-0Tvååkers IF
Angelholm1-1Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF1-0Angelholm
Angelholm3-2Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angelholm 1448 · Tvååkers IF 1484

	Angelholm	Draw	Tvååkers IF
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angelholm	Tvååkers IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:16 +3’	1.80	3.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angelholm 2–2–2 Tvååkers IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	3-2 HT 2-1	Angelholm
16/08/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	0-1 HT 0-0	Angelholm
15/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-0 HT 0-0	Tvååkers IF
28/10/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-1 HT 0-1	Tvååkers IF
12/05/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Angelholm
22/10/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	3-2 HT 2-1	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	28	19	6	3	64	31	63
2	Hässleholms IF	28	16	4	8	50	32	52
3	Lunds BK	28	13	8	7	56	37	47
4	Atvidabergs FF	28	13	8	7	52	41	47
5	Ariana FC Malmo	28	12	8	8	52	42	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	28	10	10	8	44	41	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	28	11	6	11	35	30	39
8	FC Trollhättan	28	10	8	10	48	48	38
9	Tvååkers IF	28	10	8	10	39	42	38
10	BK Olympic	28	11	3	14	53	56	36
11	Skövde AIK	28	8	11	9	36	45	35
12	Kristianstad FC	28	9	6	13	34	41	33
13	Eskilsminne IF	28	9	6	13	45	57	33
14	Laholms FK	28	9	5	14	39	45	32
15	Angelholm	28	6	9	13	36	50	27
16	Utsiktens BK	28	2	6	20	25	70	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angelholm	Tvååkers IF
Ariana FC Malmo	3-2 W	0-0 D
Laholms FK	0-1 L	1-1 D
Utsiktens BK	2-0 W	4-1 W
FC Rosengård 1917	3-0 W	1-1 D
Trelleborgs FF	1-4 L	0-1 L
Eskilsminne IF	2-2 D	2-4 L
Skövde AIK	0-3 L	1-1 D
Jonkopings Sodra	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tvååkers IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angelholm

LLLLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
17/10	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
11/10	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
03/10	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
27/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-4	4	3	L
21/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
16/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
12/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	11	1	L
05/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
29/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	1	0	L

Tvååkers IF

DWDLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-1	5	4	W
17/10	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/10	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
03/10	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	10	4	L
26/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	3	6	L
12/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angelholm vs Tvååkers IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angelholm win (50%). Probabilities: Angelholm 50%, draw 24%, Tvååkers IF 26%.

How many goals are expected in Angelholm vs Tvååkers IF?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Angelholm 1.87 · Tvååkers IF 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Angelholm vs Tvååkers IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.