Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: Skövde AIK vs FC Trollhättan

Team pages: Skövde AIK · FC Trollhättan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Skövde AIK1.44

FC Trollhättan1.44

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Skövde AIK Draw FC Trollhättan

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Skövde AIK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLWDWW

FC Trollhättan 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Skövde AIK 1–1–4 FC Trollhättan (6 last)

FC Trollhättan1-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-2FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan6-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-0FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan2-0Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-3FC Trollhättan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skövde AIK 1489 · FC Trollhättan 1526

	Skövde AIK	Draw	FC Trollhättan
Our model	36%	27%	36%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Trollhättan: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skövde AIK	FC Trollhättan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.70

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +11’	2.38	3.70	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skövde AIK 1–1–4 FC Trollhättan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	1-1 HT 0-0	Skövde AIK
12/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Trollhättan
28/03/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	6-1 HT 3-0	Skövde AIK
26/03/22 Club Friendly List	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Trollhättan
18/10/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	2-0 HT 0-0	Skövde AIK
15/05/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Trollhättan

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	21	12	6	3	44	24	42
2	Hässleholms IF	21	12	3	6	41	26	39
3	Atvidabergs FF	21	11	6	4	45	32	39
4	Lunds BK	21	10	8	3	44	26	38
5	FC Rosengård 1917	21	9	7	5	35	28	34
6	Tvååkers IF	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
7	Ariana FC Malmo	21	8	8	5	39	31	32
8	FC Trollhättan	21	7	7	7	33	33	28
9	Jonkopings Sodra	21	7	6	8	25	20	27
10	Skövde AIK	21	6	9	6	23	29	27
11	BK Olympic	21	8	2	11	38	43	26
12	Eskilsminne IF	21	7	4	10	32	38	25
13	Kristianstad FC	21	5	6	10	25	33	21
14	Laholms FK	21	6	3	12	28	38	21
15	Angelholm	21	3	8	10	25	39	17
16	Utsiktens BK	21	1	5	15	17	54	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skövde AIK	FC Trollhättan
Angelholm	3-0 W	1-0 W
Trelleborgs FF	2-1 W	2-1 W
Kristianstad FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
FC Rosengård 1917	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Skövde AIK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skövde AIK

LDLLDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
06/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

FC Trollhättan

DLDWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
05/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	9	2	W
29/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	13	5	L
22/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
08/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
13/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	10	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skövde AIK vs FC Trollhättan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skövde AIK win (37%). Probabilities: Skövde AIK 37%, draw 26%, FC Trollhättan 37%.

How many goals are expected in Skövde AIK vs FC Trollhättan?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Skövde AIK 1.44 · FC Trollhättan 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skövde AIK vs FC Trollhättan?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.