Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan

Team pages: Kristianstad FC · FC Trollhättan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Kristianstad FC1.45

FC Trollhättan1.6

1X2

34% 26% 41%

Kristianstad FC Draw FC Trollhättan

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstad FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWWLL

FC Trollhättan 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Kristianstad FC 1–2–2 FC Trollhättan (5 last)

FC Trollhättan1-1Kristianstad FC
FC Trollhättan1-1Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC0-2FC Trollhättan
Kristianstad FC1-2FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan0-1Kristianstad FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstad FC 1472 · FC Trollhättan 1570

	Kristianstad FC	Draw	FC Trollhättan
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Trollhättan (rating 1472 vs 1570).
H2H favours FC Trollhättan: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstad FC	FC Trollhättan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	2.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3.4	2.9 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.29 ★
2	2.30 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.28

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +41’	2.50	3.60	2.30
23:04 +7’	2.80▲	3.70▲	2.05▼
11:41 +8’	2.90▲	3.70	2.00▼
17:23 +12’	2.63▼	3.60▼	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:20 +1’	2.12	4.51	2.51
10:48 +35’	2.38▲	4.43▼	2.24▼
12:22 +7’	2.60▲	4.38▼	2.09▼
13:09 +18’	2.48▼	4.38	2.17▲
15:37 +52’	2.74▲	4.38	2.01▼
16:23 +72’	2.36▼	4.29▼	2.30▲
03:51 +40’	2.39▲	4.29	2.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstad FC 1–2–2 FC Trollhättan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	1-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstad FC
20/10/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	1-1 HT 0-0	Kristianstad FC
01/05/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Trollhättan
15/10/16 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Trollhättan
17/04/16 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	0-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstad FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	27	18	6	3	61	30	60
2	Hässleholms IF	26	15	3	8	47	30	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	13	8	5	50	36	47
4	Lunds BK	27	12	8	7	52	36	44
5	Ariana FC Malmo	26	12	8	6	49	37	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	26	10	9	7	42	38	39
7	FC Trollhättan	26	10	8	8	45	41	38
8	Tvååkers IF	26	9	7	10	34	40	34
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	9	6	11	29	27	33
10	BK Olympic	26	10	3	13	48	50	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	8	9	9	33	42	33
12	Eskilsminne IF	26	9	5	12	42	51	32
13	Kristianstad FC	26	7	6	13	29	39	27
14	Laholms FK	26	7	5	14	33	44	26
15	Angelholm	26	5	9	12	33	47	24
16	Utsiktens BK	26	2	6	18	23	62	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstad FC	FC Trollhättan
Trelleborgs FF	0-2 L	2-1 W
Lunds BK	1-0 W	3-4 L
Hässleholms IF	1-2 L	1-0 W
Atvidabergs FF	5-2 W	1-1 D
Skövde AIK	1-3 L	3-1 W
Tvååkers IF	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Trollhättan (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristianstad FC

LLWLDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
02/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
25/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
20/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
17/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
13/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
29/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
23/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
15/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	4	2	L

FC Trollhättan

WWLWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	3-4	9	3	L
03/10	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	12	1	W
20/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
17/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
11/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
05/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	9	2	W
29/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	13	5	L
22/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Trollhättan win (41%). Probabilities: Kristianstad FC 34%, draw 26%, FC Trollhättan 41%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Kristianstad FC 1.45 · FC Trollhättan 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstad FC vs FC Trollhättan?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.