Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK

Team pages: Hässleholms IF · Skövde AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Hässleholms IF1.95

Skövde AIK1.09

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Hässleholms IF Draw Skövde AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hässleholms IF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLWWW

Skövde AIK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWLD

Head-to-head

Hässleholms IF 2–1–0 Skövde AIK (3 last)

Skövde AIK2-2Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK0-1Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF3-1Skövde AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hässleholms IF 1558 · Skövde AIK 1488

	Hässleholms IF	Draw	Skövde AIK
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hässleholms IF (rating 1558 vs 1488).
H2H favours Hässleholms IF: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hässleholms IF	Skövde AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.06
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:21 +21’	1.60	3.80	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:26 +17’	1.53	4.19	5.02
21:43 +5’	1.55▲	4.11▼	4.95▼
23:34 +33’	1.55▲	4.06▼	4.94▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hässleholms IF 2–1–0 Skövde AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	2-2 HT 0-1	Hässleholms IF
25/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	0-1 HT 0-0	Hässleholms IF
01/06/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	3-1 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	27	18	6	3	61	30	60
2	Hässleholms IF	27	16	3	8	49	31	51
3	Atvidabergs FF	27	13	8	6	51	38	47
4	Lunds BK	27	12	8	7	52	36	44
5	Ariana FC Malmo	27	12	8	7	50	39	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	27	10	10	7	43	39	40
7	FC Trollhättan	27	10	8	9	46	44	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	27	10	6	11	31	28	36
9	BK Olympic	27	11	3	13	52	51	36
10	Tvååkers IF	27	9	8	10	35	41	35
11	Skövde AIK	27	8	10	9	35	44	34
12	Eskilsminne IF	27	9	6	12	44	53	33
13	Kristianstad FC	27	8	6	13	32	40	30
14	Laholms FK	27	8	5	14	34	44	29
15	Angelholm	27	5	9	13	33	48	24
16	Utsiktens BK	27	2	6	19	24	66	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hässleholms IF	Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra	1-0 W	2-3 L
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Trollhättan	0-1 L	1-3 L
Ariana FC Malmo	2-0 W	2-4 L
Trelleborgs FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Kristianstad FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Eskilsminne IF	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hässleholms IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hässleholms IF

WWWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
10/10	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
26/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
20/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
16/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
05/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W

Skövde AIK

WDWWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	9	2	D
10/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-4	9	1	L
03/10	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
26/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
21/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
17/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
06/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hässleholms IF win (56%). Probabilities: Hässleholms IF 56%, draw 24%, Skövde AIK 20%.

How many goals are expected in Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Hässleholms IF 1.95 · Skövde AIK 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.