Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Eskilsminne IF vs Lunds BK

Team pages: Eskilsminne IF · Lunds BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Eskilsminne IF1.72

Lunds BK1.97

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Eskilsminne IF Draw Lunds BK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilsminne IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDLWLD

Lunds BK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Eskilsminne IF 4–1–1 Lunds BK (6 last)

Lunds BK4-2Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF2-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-2Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF3-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK1-2Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF1-0Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilsminne IF 1448 · Lunds BK 1509

	Eskilsminne IF	Draw	Lunds BK
Our model	33%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lunds BK (rating 1448 vs 1509).
H2H favours Eskilsminne IF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilsminne IF	Lunds BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.1	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	3.90 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.11 ★
2	1.80 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +13’	3.30	3.90	1.80
21:40 +2’	2.75▼	3.70▼	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +42’	2.58	4.19	2.15
21:33 +9’	2.53▼	4.17▼	2.19▲
23:04 +9’	2.47▼	4.11▼	2.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilsminne IF 4–1–1 Lunds BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	4-2 HT 1-1	Eskilsminne IF
16/08/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	2-1 HT 1-0	Lunds BK
28/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-2 HT 0-1	Eskilsminne IF
12/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	3-1 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
12/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 0-1	Eskilsminne IF
10/02/24 Club Friendly List	Eskilsminne IF	1-0	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	27	18	6	3	61	30	60
2	Hässleholms IF	27	16	3	8	49	31	51
3	Atvidabergs FF	27	13	8	6	51	38	47
4	Lunds BK	27	12	8	7	52	36	44
5	Ariana FC Malmo	27	12	8	7	50	39	44
6	FC Rosengård 1917	27	10	10	7	43	39	40
7	FC Trollhättan	27	10	8	9	46	44	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	27	10	6	11	31	28	36
9	BK Olympic	27	11	3	13	52	51	36
10	Tvååkers IF	27	9	8	10	35	41	35
11	Skövde AIK	27	8	10	9	35	44	34
12	Eskilsminne IF	27	9	6	12	44	53	33
13	Kristianstad FC	27	8	6	13	32	40	30
14	Laholms FK	27	8	5	14	34	44	29
15	Angelholm	27	5	9	13	33	48	24
16	Utsiktens BK	27	2	6	19	24	66	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilsminne IF	Lunds BK
BK Olympic	2-7 L	7-1 W
Ariana FC Malmo	1-2 L	5-2 W
Angelholm	2-2 D	2-0 W
Laholms FK	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Trollhättan	2-4 L	4-3 W
Utsiktens BK	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilsminne IF

DLLLWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
10/10	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-3	2-7	6	1	L
03/10	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
21/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
17/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	4	6	W
12/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	1	2	L
29/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	2	5	D

Lunds BK

WWDWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-4	0	6	L
10/10	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-3	5	3	W
02/10	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
25/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
19/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
11/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilsminne IF vs Lunds BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lunds BK win (43%). Probabilities: Eskilsminne IF 33%, draw 24%, Lunds BK 43%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilsminne IF vs Lunds BK?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Eskilsminne IF 1.72 · Lunds BK 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilsminne IF vs Lunds BK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.