Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 17/10, 12:30

Prediction: Helges IF vs Enskede IK

Team pages: Helges IF · Enskede IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Helges IF0.81

Enskede IK2.75

1X2

9% 13% 78%

Helges IF Draw Enskede IK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Helges IF 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLLLL

Enskede IK 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Helges IF 0–1 Enskede IK (1 last)

Enskede IK2-1Helges IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Helges IF 1392 · Enskede IK 1600

	Helges IF	Draw	Enskede IK
Our model	8%	15%	77%
Market	9%	12%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enskede IK (rating 1392 vs 1600).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helges IF	Enskede IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.5	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 5	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

110.00

X7.50

21.17

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.98

2 (-2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +30’	10.00	7.50	1.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Helges IF 0–0–1 Enskede IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Enskede IK	2-1 HT 1-0	Helges IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	25	17	5	3	56	26	56
2	Sunnersta AIF	25	16	5	4	65	22	53
3	Enskede IK	25	16	4	5	42	24	52
4	Ängby IF	25	15	6	4	58	29	51
5	Falu BS FK	25	13	5	7	40	30	44
6	Taby FK	25	12	5	8	44	28	41
7	IK Franke	25	10	4	11	45	43	34
8	FC Gute	25	9	5	11	38	38	32
9	Bollstanäs SK	25	8	7	10	45	48	31
10	Kungsängens IF	25	5	10	10	30	39	25
11	IFK Lidingo	25	6	5	14	29	54	23
12	Viggbyholms IK	25	6	4	15	25	49	22
13	Korsnas IF FK	25	3	5	17	26	64	14
14	Helges IF	25	2	4	19	22	71	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helges IF	Enskede IK
IK Franke	2-5 L	0-2 L
FC Gute	1-2 L	3-1 W
Viggbyholms IK	2-4 L	2-0 W
IFK Lidingo	1-2 L	3-1 W
Kungsängens IF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Falu BS FK	1-2 L	2-0 W
Skiljebo SK	2-4 L	1-0 W
Bollstanäs SK	0-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Enskede IK (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helges IF

LLLDDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-5	7	4	L
04/10	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-4	0-9	2	1	L
26/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-2	11	2	L
20/09	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-4	6	0	L
13/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
09/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-5	–	–	L

Enskede IK

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
03/10	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
27/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
06/09	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
29/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
23/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
16/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
09/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-2	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helges IF vs Enskede IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Enskede IK win (78%). Probabilities: Helges IF 9%, draw 13%, Enskede IK 78%.

How many goals are expected in Helges IF vs Enskede IK?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Helges IF 0.81 · Enskede IK 2.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Helges IF vs Enskede IK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.