Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Taby FK vs IFK Lidingo

Team pages: Taby FK · IFK Lidingo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Taby FK2.19

IFK Lidingo1.29

1X2

58% 21% 21%

Taby FK Draw IFK Lidingo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Taby FK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDDWLW

IFK Lidingo 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Taby FK 4–1 IFK Lidingo (5 last)

IFK Lidingo1-3Taby FK
IFK Lidingo2-4Taby FK
Taby FK1-0IFK Lidingo
Taby FK2-3IFK Lidingo
IFK Lidingo0-1Taby FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taby FK 1528 · IFK Lidingo 1423

	Taby FK	Draw	IFK Lidingo
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	58%	20%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taby FK (rating 1528 vs 1423).
H2H favours Taby FK: 4-0-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taby FK	IFK Lidingo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	3.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.50

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.55▲	Pinn 1.63
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.21 ★
2	4.50 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +8’	1.50	4.50	4.50
09:04 +11’	1.67▲	4.20▼	3.60▼
10:23 +20’	1.55▼	4.50▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +52’	1.45	4.96	4.27
08:18 +57’	1.63▲	5.21▲	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Taby FK 4–0–1 IFK Lidingo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	1-3 HT 1-3	Taby FK
13/09/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	2-4 HT 1-1	Taby FK
02/06/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	1-0 HT 0-0	IFK Lidingo
06/10/18 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	2-3 HT 1-1	IFK Lidingo
29/06/18 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	0-1 HT 0-0	Taby FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	24	17	5	2	56	25	56
2	Ängby IF	24	15	6	3	58	27	51
3	Sunnersta AIF	24	15	5	4	58	21	50
4	Enskede IK	24	15	4	5	41	24	49
5	Taby FK	24	12	5	7	42	25	41
6	Falu BS FK	24	12	5	7	37	30	41
7	FC Gute	24	9	5	10	38	35	32
8	IK Franke	24	9	4	11	40	41	31
9	Bollstanäs SK	24	8	7	9	43	45	31
10	Kungsängens IF	24	4	10	10	27	37	22
11	IFK Lidingo	24	5	5	14	26	52	20
12	Viggbyholms IK	24	5	4	15	23	49	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	24	3	5	16	25	57	14
14	Helges IF	24	2	4	18	20	66	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taby FK	IFK Lidingo
Viggbyholms IK	3-0 W	0-3 L
Skiljebo SK	0-1 L	1-2 L
Ängby IF	2-1 W	2-3 L
Helges IF	1-1 D	2-1 W
Bollstanäs SK	1-2 L	0-4 L
Sunnersta AIF	0-1 L	0-6 L
Korsnas IF FK	5-1 W	3-0 W
Enskede IK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Taby FK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taby FK

LWLLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
26/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
19/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
13/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
02/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	4	L

IFK Lidingo

LWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
26/09	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-6	–	–	L
19/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
05/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
29/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	3	1	L
15/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
07/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
01/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-3	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taby FK vs IFK Lidingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taby FK win (58%). Probabilities: Taby FK 58%, draw 21%, IFK Lidingo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Taby FK vs IFK Lidingo?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Taby FK 2.19 · IFK Lidingo 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Taby FK vs IFK Lidingo?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.