Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 11/10, 13:00

Prediction: Ängby IF vs Viggbyholms IK

Team pages: Ängby IF · Viggbyholms IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Ängby IF2.76

Viggbyholms IK1.14

1X2

70% 17% 12%

Ängby IF Draw Viggbyholms IK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ängby IF 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWLWW

Viggbyholms IK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ängby IF 1–0 Viggbyholms IK (1 last)

Viggbyholms IK0-2Ängby IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ängby IF 1594 · Viggbyholms IK 1426

	Ängby IF	Draw	Viggbyholms IK
Our model	71%	17%	13%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ängby IF (rating 1594 vs 1426).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ängby IF	Viggbyholms IK
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.2	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.28▲	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.34 ★
2	9.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +9’	1.22	5.50	9.00
20:18 +16’	1.25▲	5.50	8.50▼
22:55 +2’	1.28▲	5.00▼	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:37 +10’	1.20	5.32	7.19
02:45 +12’	1.38▲	4.46▼	5.33▼
02:58 +63’	1.39▲	4.50▲	5.40▲
04:33 +10’	1.34▼	4.69▲	5.88▲
05:49 +16’	1.34▼	4.73▲	5.90▲
09:00 +8’	1.34▼	4.75▲	5.92▲
11:04 +4’	1.34▲	4.87▲	6.10▲
12:06 +8’	1.28▼	5.34▲	6.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ängby IF 1–0–0 Viggbyholms IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	0-2 HT 0-1	Ängby IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	25	17	5	3	56	26	56
2	Enskede IK	25	16	4	5	42	24	52
3	Ängby IF	24	15	6	3	58	27	51
4	Sunnersta AIF	24	15	5	4	58	21	50
5	Falu BS FK	25	13	5	7	40	30	44
6	Taby FK	25	12	5	8	44	28	41
7	IK Franke	25	10	4	11	45	43	34
8	FC Gute	25	9	5	11	38	38	32
9	Bollstanäs SK	25	8	7	10	45	48	31
10	Kungsängens IF	25	5	10	10	30	39	25
11	IFK Lidingo	25	6	5	14	29	54	23
12	Viggbyholms IK	24	5	4	15	23	49	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	24	3	5	16	25	57	14
14	Helges IF	25	2	4	19	22	71	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ängby IF	Viggbyholms IK
Helges IF	9-0 W	4-2 W
Falu BS FK	3-2 W	0-2 L
Taby FK	1-2 L	0-3 L
Korsnas IF FK	2-2 D	2-4 L
Sunnersta AIF	4-2 W	0-2 L
Kungsängens IF	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Gute	1-0 W	0-3 L
IFK Lidingo	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ängby IF (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ängby IF

WWDWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	4-0	9-0	2	1	W
27/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
13/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	3-0	5-1	5	4	W
06/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-0	4	4	W
30/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-2	8	3	D
22/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-2	2	5	W
15/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
08/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	3-2	8	4	W

Viggbyholms IK

LLWDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	10	3	L
26/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-2	2-4	2	3	L
20/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
12/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
22/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ängby IF vs Viggbyholms IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ängby IF win (70%). Probabilities: Ängby IF 70%, draw 17%, Viggbyholms IK 12%.

How many goals are expected in Ängby IF vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Ängby IF 2.76 · Viggbyholms IK 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ängby IF vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.