Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 17/10, 12:30

Prediction: Kungsängens IF vs Taby FK

Team pages: Kungsängens IF · Taby FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Kungsängens IF1.37

Taby FK1.42

1X2

36% 26% 38%

Kungsängens IF Draw Taby FK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kungsängens IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWLWLWW

Taby FK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDWLWL

Head-to-head

Kungsängens IF 1–4 Taby FK (5 last)

Taby FK3-0Kungsängens IF
Kungsängens IF2-0Taby FK
Taby FK2-0Kungsängens IF
Taby FK5-1Kungsängens IF
Kungsängens IF1-2Taby FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kungsängens IF 1514 · Taby FK 1513

	Kungsängens IF	Draw	Taby FK
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Taby FK: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kungsängens IF	Taby FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +7’	2.45	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kungsängens IF 1–0–4 Taby FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	3-0 HT 2-0	Kungsängens IF
14/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Kungsängens IF	2-0 HT 2-0	Taby FK
19/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	2-0 HT 0-0	Kungsängens IF
30/08/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	5-1 HT 3-0	Kungsängens IF
18/05/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Kungsängens IF	1-2 HT 1-1	Taby FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	25	17	5	3	56	26	56
2	Sunnersta AIF	25	16	5	4	65	22	53
3	Enskede IK	25	16	4	5	42	24	52
4	Ängby IF	25	15	6	4	58	29	51
5	Falu BS FK	25	13	5	7	40	30	44
6	Taby FK	25	12	5	8	44	28	41
7	IK Franke	25	10	4	11	45	43	34
8	FC Gute	25	9	5	11	38	38	32
9	Bollstanäs SK	25	8	7	10	45	48	31
10	Kungsängens IF	25	5	10	10	30	39	25
11	IFK Lidingo	25	6	5	14	29	54	23
12	Viggbyholms IK	25	6	4	15	25	49	22
13	Korsnas IF FK	25	3	5	17	26	64	14
14	Helges IF	25	2	4	19	22	71	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kungsängens IF	Taby FK
Bollstanäs SK	3-2 W	1-2 L
Sunnersta AIF	2-1 W	0-1 L
IK Franke	1-2 L	2-1 W
Falu BS FK	3-1 W	2-2 D
Korsnas IF FK	2-0 W	5-1 W
Helges IF	1-1 D	1-1 D
Viggbyholms IK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Ängby IF	1-1 D	2-1 W
IFK Lidingo	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Taby FK (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kungsängens IF

LDDDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	3-2	1	2	W
02/10	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
27/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
12/09	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
05/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
22/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
15/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	2	2	L

Taby FK

WLLWDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
03/10	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
26/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
19/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
13/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kungsängens IF vs Taby FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Taby FK win (38%). Probabilities: Kungsängens IF 36%, draw 26%, Taby FK 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kungsängens IF vs Taby FK?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Kungsängens IF 1.37 · Taby FK 1.42), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kungsängens IF vs Taby FK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.