Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn

Team pages: Oskarshamns AIK · IFK Karlshamn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Oskarshamns AIK2.33

IFK Karlshamn1.23

1X2

61% 21% 18%

Oskarshamns AIK Draw IFK Karlshamn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Oskarshamns AIK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLWLWW

IFK Karlshamn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLLLD

Head-to-head

Oskarshamns AIK 1–0 IFK Karlshamn (1 last)

IFK Karlshamn1-5Oskarshamns AIK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oskarshamns AIK 1528 · IFK Karlshamn 1444

	Oskarshamns AIK	Draw	IFK Karlshamn
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskarshamns AIK (rating 1528 vs 1444).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oskarshamns AIK	IFK Karlshamn
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:17 +7’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oskarshamns AIK 1–0–0 IFK Karlshamn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Karlshamn	1-5 HT 0-1	Oskarshamns AIK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	15	10	3	2	33	17	33
2	Oskarshamns AIK	15	8	3	4	30	19	27
3	Linero IF	15	8	1	6	28	21	25
4	IFK Berga	15	7	3	5	30	20	24
5	IFK Trelleborg	14	6	5	3	20	14	23
6	Växjö Norra	14	6	5	3	20	17	23
7	Osterlen FF	15	6	3	6	20	21	21
8	Nosaby	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
9	Lilla Torg FF	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
10	Torns IF	15	6	0	9	22	37	18
11	Staffanstorp United	15	4	5	6	26	28	17
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	14	5	1	8	22	23	16
13	Räppe GOIF	15	3	4	8	16	27	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	15	2	2	11	16	31	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oskarshamns AIK	IFK Karlshamn
Lilla Torg FF	3-2 W	2-0 W
Sölvesborgs GoIF	0-1 L	0-2 L
Växjö Norra	2-0 W	1-2 L
Räppe GOIF	0-1 L	2-2 D
FK Karlskrona	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Karlshamn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Oskarshamns AIK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-2	1	7	W
25/07	FC Gute Club Friendly List	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
27/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
17/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
12/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
07/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
30/05	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
14/05	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
09/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	6-1	6	3	W

IFK Karlshamn

LWLLDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
28/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-3	4	0	L
18/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
12/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
07/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/05	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-5	–	–	L
10/05	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
02/05	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oskarshamns AIK win (61%). Probabilities: Oskarshamns AIK 61%, draw 21%, IFK Karlshamn 18%.

How many goals are expected in Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Oskarshamns AIK 2.33 · IFK Karlshamn 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.