Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Lilla Torg FF vs FK Karlskrona

Team pages: Lilla Torg FF · FK Karlskrona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Lilla Torg FF1.56

FK Karlskrona1.49

1X2

38% 26% 35%

Lilla Torg FF Draw FK Karlskrona

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lilla Torg FF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLDDWLD

FK Karlskrona 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Lilla Torg FF 0–1–0 FK Karlskrona (1 last)

FK Karlskrona1-1Lilla Torg FF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Karlskrona (rating 1510 vs 1554).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lilla Torg FF	FK Karlskrona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	4.9 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.96

Under 3.251.76

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.06 → 5.06	Pinn 5.06
X	4.23 → 4.23	Pinn 4.23
2	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:29 +1’	5.06	4.23	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lilla Torg FF 0–1–0 FK Karlskrona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	FK Karlskrona	1-1 HT 1-0	Lilla Torg FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	16	11	3	2	38	17	36
2	Oskarshamns AIK	16	9	3	4	35	19	30
3	IFK Berga	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
4	IFK Trelleborg	15	7	5	3	24	14	26
5	Nosaby	16	7	5	4	30	27	26
6	Linero IF	16	8	1	7	28	25	25
7	Osterlen FF	16	7	3	6	24	22	24
8	Växjö Norra	15	6	5	4	20	21	23
9	Lilla Torg FF	16	4	7	5	18	24	19
10	Staffanstorp United	16	4	6	6	27	29	18
11	Torns IF	16	6	0	10	22	42	18
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	16	5	1	10	24	29	16
13	Räppe GOIF	16	3	4	9	16	30	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	16	2	2	12	16	36	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lilla Torg FF	FK Karlskrona
Oskarshamns AIK	2-3 L	3-0 W
Torns IF	4-0 W	5-0 W
Nosaby	3-3 D	5-1 W
IFK Karlshamn	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Karlskrona (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lilla Torg FF

DWWDLDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
02/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
24/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
17/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-3	4	9	D
12/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
07/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
31/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
24/05	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
13/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
09/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

FK Karlskrona

WDLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
30/07	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	5-1	5	3	W
18/07	Hässleholms IF Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-0	3	1	W
18/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-1	15	2	W
14/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	4-2	10	3	W
10/06	Football Primetime Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
06/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	11	2	L
31/05	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
24/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lilla Torg FF vs FK Karlskrona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lilla Torg FF win (38%). Probabilities: Lilla Torg FF 38%, draw 26%, FK Karlskrona 35%.

How many goals are expected in Lilla Torg FF vs FK Karlskrona?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Lilla Torg FF 1.56 · FK Karlskrona 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lilla Torg FF vs FK Karlskrona?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.