Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg

Team pages: IFK Karlshamn · IFK Trelleborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

IFK Karlshamn1.14

IFK Trelleborg1.86

1X2

23% 24% 54%

IFK Karlshamn Draw IFK Trelleborg

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Karlshamn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLLDL

IFK Trelleborg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWDWLW

Head-to-head

IFK Karlshamn 2–1–2 IFK Trelleborg (5 last)

IFK Trelleborg2-1IFK Karlshamn
IFK Trelleborg3-0IFK Karlshamn
IFK Karlshamn1-0IFK Trelleborg
IFK Karlshamn3-3IFK Trelleborg
IFK Trelleborg1-2IFK Karlshamn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Karlshamn 1433 · IFK Trelleborg 1529

	IFK Karlshamn	Draw	IFK Trelleborg
Our model	22%	25%	53%
Market	23%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Trelleborg (rating 1433 vs 1529).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Karlshamn	IFK Trelleborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.5	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	4.1 / 8.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +11’	3.90	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Karlshamn 2–1–2 IFK Trelleborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Trelleborg	2-1 HT 0-0	IFK Karlshamn
03/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Trelleborg	3-0 HT 1-0	IFK Karlshamn
14/06/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Karlshamn	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Trelleborg
26/06/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Karlshamn	3-3 HT 3-0	IFK Trelleborg
06/04/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Trelleborg	1-2 HT 1-0	IFK Karlshamn

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	16	11	3	2	38	17	36
2	Oskarshamns AIK	16	9	3	4	35	19	30
3	IFK Berga	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
4	IFK Trelleborg	15	7	5	3	24	14	26
5	Linero IF	16	8	1	7	28	25	25
6	Osterlen FF	16	7	3	6	24	22	24
7	Nosaby	15	6	5	4	28	26	23
8	Växjö Norra	15	6	5	4	20	21	23
9	Lilla Torg FF	16	4	7	5	18	24	19
10	Staffanstorp United	16	4	6	6	27	29	18
11	Torns IF	16	6	0	10	22	42	18
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	15	5	1	9	23	27	16
13	Räppe GOIF	16	3	4	9	16	30	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	16	2	2	12	16	36	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Karlshamn	IFK Trelleborg
Oskarshamns AIK	0-5 L	1-1 D
Räppe GOIF	2-2 D	1-0 W
Linero IF	1-3 L	1-2 L
Sölvesborgs GoIF	0-2 L	1-0 W
Växjö Norra	1-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Trelleborg (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Karlshamn

WLLDWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
31/07	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
28/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-3	4	0	L
18/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
12/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
07/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/05	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-5	–	–	L
10/05	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-1	1	1	W

IFK Trelleborg

WDLDLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
17/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
13/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
06/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
03/06	Hogaborgs BK Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	13	3	L
16/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
10/05	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Trelleborg win (54%). Probabilities: IFK Karlshamn 23%, draw 24%, IFK Trelleborg 54%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

The model expects 3 goals (IFK Karlshamn 1.14 · IFK Trelleborg 1.86), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.