Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Torns IF vs IFK Berga

Team pages: Torns IF · IFK Berga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Torns IF1.42

IFK Berga2.08

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Torns IF Draw IFK Berga

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Torns IF 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLWL

IFK Berga 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Torns IF 1–3–2 IFK Berga (6 last)

IFK Berga4-1Torns IF
Torns IF2-2IFK Berga
IFK Berga2-2Torns IF
IFK Berga1-2Torns IF
Torns IF1-2IFK Berga
IFK Berga0-0Torns IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torns IF 1470 · IFK Berga 1560

	Torns IF	Draw	IFK Berga
Our model	25%	23%	52%
Market	25%	24%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Berga (rating 1470 vs 1560).
H2H favours IFK Berga: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torns IF	IFK Berga
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.7	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:39 +1’	3.60	3.80	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torns IF 1–3–2 IFK Berga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	4-1 HT 4-0	Torns IF
19/08/17 Sweden 2.div Östra Götaland	Torns IF	2-2 HT 2-0	IFK Berga
06/05/17 Sweden 2.div Östra Götaland	IFK Berga	2-2 HT 1-1	Torns IF
13/08/16 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	1-2 HT 1-1	Torns IF
30/04/16 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Torns IF	1-2 HT 0-1	IFK Berga
03/10/15 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Berga	0-0 HT 0-0	Torns IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	16	11	3	2	38	17	36
2	Oskarshamns AIK	16	9	3	4	35	19	30
3	IFK Berga	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
4	IFK Trelleborg	15	7	5	3	24	14	26
5	Linero IF	16	8	1	7	28	25	25
6	Osterlen FF	16	7	3	6	24	22	24
7	Nosaby	15	6	5	4	28	26	23
8	Växjö Norra	15	6	5	4	20	21	23
9	Lilla Torg FF	16	4	7	5	18	24	19
10	Staffanstorp United	16	4	6	6	27	29	18
11	Torns IF	16	6	0	10	22	42	18
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	15	5	1	9	23	27	16
13	Räppe GOIF	16	3	4	9	16	30	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	16	2	2	12	16	36	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torns IF	IFK Berga
Lilla Torg FF	0-4 L	1-2 L
Osterlen FF	2-3 L	2-1 W
Sölvesborgs GoIF	3-1 W	3-2 W
Linero IF	2-1 W	0-1 L
Räppe GOIF	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Berga (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torns IF

LLWWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-5	–	–	L
03/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
24/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-4	4	0	L
17/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	2-3	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-4	2	4	L
04/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-1	2	1	W
29/05	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
23/05	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/05	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
09/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-6	3	3	L

IFK Berga

WWLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
02/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-1	2	4	W
26/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-1	7	7	W
17/06	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
13/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	4-1	7	4	W
06/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
29/05	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
24/05	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
14/05	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	6-0	7	6	W
09/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torns IF vs IFK Berga?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Berga win (52%). Probabilities: Torns IF 25%, draw 23%, IFK Berga 52%.

How many goals are expected in Torns IF vs IFK Berga?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Torns IF 1.42 · IFK Berga 2.08), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torns IF vs IFK Berga?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.