Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Nosaby vs Linero IF

Team pages: Nosaby · Linero IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Nosaby1.79

Linero IF1.64

1X2

41% 25% 35%

Nosaby Draw Linero IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nosaby 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWLDWL

Linero IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLDWL

Head-to-head

Nosaby 1–1–1 Linero IF (3 last)

Linero IF3-0Nosaby
Nosaby1-1Linero IF
Linero IF0-3Nosaby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nosaby 1494 · Linero IF 1501

	Nosaby	Draw	Linero IF
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nosaby	Linero IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +6’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nosaby 1–1–1 Linero IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Linero IF	3-0 HT 2-0	Nosaby
10/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-1 HT 1-1	Linero IF
23/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Linero IF	0-3 HT 0-2	Nosaby

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	15	10	3	2	33	17	33
2	Oskarshamns AIK	15	8	3	4	30	19	27
3	Linero IF	15	8	1	6	28	21	25
4	IFK Berga	15	7	3	5	30	20	24
5	IFK Trelleborg	14	6	5	3	20	14	23
6	Växjö Norra	14	6	5	3	20	17	23
7	Osterlen FF	15	6	3	6	20	21	21
8	Nosaby	14	5	5	4	24	26	20
9	Lilla Torg FF	15	4	6	5	17	23	18
10	Torns IF	15	6	0	9	22	37	18
11	Staffanstorp United	15	4	5	6	26	28	17
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	14	5	1	8	22	23	16
13	Räppe GOIF	15	3	4	8	16	27	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	15	2	2	11	16	31	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nosaby	Linero IF
FK Karlskrona	1-5 L	2-4 L
Osterlen FF	1-2 L	0-2 L
IFK Karlshamn	2-2 D	3-1 W
Staffanstorp United	0-5 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Linero IF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nosaby

WLWLDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-5	3	3	L
26/07	IFK Hässleholm Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
17/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-3	6	9	D
12/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-1	1	2	W
30/05	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-5	8	2	L
16/05	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
01/05	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	4-0	5	3	W

Linero IF

WWLWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
28/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
18/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
14/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-4	3	3	L
06/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
29/05	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
22/05	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
14/05	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	2	1	L
10/05	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
02/05	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nosaby vs Linero IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nosaby win (41%). Probabilities: Nosaby 41%, draw 25%, Linero IF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Nosaby vs Linero IF?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Nosaby 1.79 · Linero IF 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Nosaby vs Linero IF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.