Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: FK Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK

Team pages: FK Karlskrona · Oskarshamns AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

FK Karlskrona2.08

Oskarshamns AIK1.5

1X2

50% 23% 27%

FK Karlskrona Draw Oskarshamns AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Karlskrona 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Oskarshamns AIK 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

FK Karlskrona 2–3–1 Oskarshamns AIK (6 last)

Oskarshamns AIK0-3FK Karlskrona
FK Karlskrona4-4Oskarshamns AIK
Oskarshamns AIK3-2FK Karlskrona
FK Karlskrona1-1Oskarshamns AIK
Oskarshamns AIK1-1FK Karlskrona
Oskarshamns AIK3-4FK Karlskrona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Karlskrona 1629 · Oskarshamns AIK 1557

	FK Karlskrona	Draw	Oskarshamns AIK
Our model	50%	23%	27%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Karlskrona (rating 1629 vs 1557).
H2H favours FK Karlskrona: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Karlskrona	Oskarshamns AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 0.6	3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.6	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +18’	1.80	3.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Karlskrona 2–3–1 Oskarshamns AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Oskarshamns AIK	0-3 HT 0-1	FK Karlskrona
07/10/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	FK Karlskrona	4-4 HT 2-3	Oskarshamns AIK
22/06/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Oskarshamns AIK	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Karlskrona
28/09/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	FK Karlskrona	1-1 HT 1-1	Oskarshamns AIK
08/07/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Oskarshamns AIK	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Karlskrona
14/10/17 Sweden 1.div Södra	Oskarshamns AIK	3-4 HT 1-2	FK Karlskrona

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	21	16	3	2	55	19	51
2	Oskarshamns AIK	21	13	3	5	55	24	42
3	IFK Trelleborg	21	12	5	4	41	19	41
4	IFK Berga	21	10	4	7	43	32	34
5	Linero IF	21	11	1	9	37	36	34
6	Växjö Norra	21	9	6	6	30	30	33
7	Nosaby	21	9	5	7	39	37	32
8	Osterlen FF	21	8	4	9	32	33	28
9	Lilla Torg FF	21	6	8	7	26	33	26
10	Sölvesborgs GoIF	21	8	1	12	31	36	25
11	Staffanstorp United	21	5	7	9	31	36	22
12	Torns IF	21	7	0	14	29	57	21
13	Räppe GOIF	21	3	5	13	22	49	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	21	3	2	16	22	52	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Karlskrona	Oskarshamns AIK
Sölvesborgs GoIF	2-0 W	0-1 L
Staffanstorp United	2-0 W	2-1 W
Växjö Norra	5-0 W	2-0 W
Lilla Torg FF	4-1 W	3-2 W
Nosaby	5-1 W	1-2 L
Osterlen FF	3-0 W	3-0 W
IFK Karlshamn	3-1 W	5-0 W
Linero IF	4-2 W	7-1 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Karlskrona (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Karlskrona

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
30/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	4-1	6	0	W
22/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	5-0	4	1	W
15/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
30/07	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	5-1	5	3	W
27/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-0	3	1	W
18/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-1	15	2	W
14/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	4-2	10	3	W

Oskarshamns AIK

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-1	7-1	4	4	W
05/09	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	7-1	–	–	W
16/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-0	12	0	W
02/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-2	1	7	W
27/06	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
17/06	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
12/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Karlskrona win (50%). Probabilities: FK Karlskrona 50%, draw 23%, Oskarshamns AIK 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK?

The model expects 3.58 goals (FK Karlskrona 2.08 · Oskarshamns AIK 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.