Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 18/09, 19:00

Prediction: Lilla Torg FF vs Linero IF

Team pages: Lilla Torg FF · Linero IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Lilla Torg FF1.69

Linero IF1.94

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Lilla Torg FF Draw Linero IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lilla Torg FF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDLLWWD

Linero IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Lilla Torg FF 0–1 Linero IF (1 last)

Linero IF4-0Lilla Torg FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lilla Torg FF 1493 · Linero IF 1486

	Lilla Torg FF	Draw	Linero IF
Our model	33%	23%	43%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lilla Torg FF	Linero IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:05 +2’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lilla Torg FF 0–0–1 Linero IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Linero IF	4-0 HT 1-0	Lilla Torg FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	21	16	3	2	55	19	51
2	Oskarshamns AIK	21	13	3	5	55	24	42
3	IFK Trelleborg	21	12	5	4	41	19	41
4	IFK Berga	21	10	4	7	43	32	34
5	Linero IF	21	11	1	9	37	36	34
6	Växjö Norra	21	9	6	6	30	30	33
7	Nosaby	21	9	5	7	39	37	32
8	Osterlen FF	21	8	4	9	32	33	28
9	Lilla Torg FF	21	6	8	7	26	33	26
10	Sölvesborgs GoIF	21	8	1	12	31	36	25
11	Staffanstorp United	21	5	7	9	31	36	22
12	Torns IF	21	7	0	14	29	57	21
13	Räppe GOIF	21	3	5	13	22	49	14
14	IFK Karlshamn	21	3	2	16	22	52	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lilla Torg FF	Linero IF
Räppe GOIF	3-1 W	5-1 W
IFK Trelleborg	0-2 L	2-1 W
FK Karlskrona	1-4 L	2-4 L
Staffanstorp United	1-1 D	0-2 L
Oskarshamns AIK	2-3 L	1-7 L
Nosaby	3-3 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lilla Torg FF

DDWLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
29/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-1	9	3	W
23/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
15/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
02/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
24/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
17/06	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-3	4	9	D
12/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Linero IF

LDWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
06/09	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
28/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
22/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-4	1-7	–	–	L
16/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-1	5-1	10	1	W
08/08	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
01/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
28/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	0	W
18/06	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
14/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lilla Torg FF vs Linero IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linero IF win (43%). Probabilities: Lilla Torg FF 33%, draw 24%, Linero IF 43%.

How many goals are expected in Lilla Torg FF vs Linero IF?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Lilla Torg FF 1.69 · Linero IF 1.94), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lilla Torg FF vs Linero IF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.