Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Lidingo vs Skiljebo SK

Team pages: IFK Lidingo · Skiljebo SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

IFK Lidingo1.29

Skiljebo SK2.27

1X2

20% 22% 58%

IFK Lidingo Draw Skiljebo SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Lidingo 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLWLLL

Skiljebo SK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

IFK Lidingo 3–3 Skiljebo SK (6 last)

Skiljebo SK3-2IFK Lidingo
Skiljebo SK4-3IFK Lidingo
IFK Lidingo4-3Skiljebo SK
IFK Lidingo4-2Skiljebo SK
IFK Lidingo2-4Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK2-3IFK Lidingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Lidingo 1417 · Skiljebo SK 1567

	IFK Lidingo	Draw	Skiljebo SK
Our model	20%	21%	59%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skiljebo SK (rating 1417 vs 1567).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Lidingo	Skiljebo SK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.66 ★
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	1.67 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:20 +36’	3.75	4.00	1.67
05:50 +9’	4.50▲	4.20▲	1.53▼
09:13 +8’	4.50	4.10▼	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:58	4.65	4.02	1.51
09:21	4.66▲	4.02	1.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Lidingo 3–0–3 Skiljebo SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	3-2 HT 2-1	IFK Lidingo
20/11/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	4-3 HT 1-2	IFK Lidingo
04/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	4-3 HT 2-1	Skiljebo SK
27/06/20 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	4-2 HT 3-1	Skiljebo SK
07/09/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Lidingo	2-4 HT 1-1	Skiljebo SK
25/05/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	2-3 HT 1-1	IFK Lidingo

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	19	12	5	2	47	17	41
2	Skiljebo SK	19	12	5	2	45	22	41
3	Ängby IF	19	11	6	2	35	22	39
4	Falu BS FK	19	11	4	4	30	20	37
5	Enskede IK	19	10	4	5	31	22	34
6	Taby FK	19	10	3	6	34	20	33
7	Bollstanäs SK	19	7	7	5	38	31	28
8	FC Gute	19	7	5	7	31	28	26
9	IK Franke	19	6	4	9	32	32	22
10	Viggbyholms IK	19	4	4	11	17	35	16
11	IFK Lidingo	19	3	5	11	20	39	14
12	Kungsängens IF	19	1	10	8	19	32	13
13	Korsnas IF FK	19	2	5	12	19	45	11
14	Helges IF	19	2	3	14	15	48	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Lidingo	Skiljebo SK
Enskede IK	1-3 L	3-1 W
Viggbyholms IK	0-3 L	2-1 W
Kungsängens IF	1-0 W	3-1 W
Ängby IF	2-3 L	1-2 L
Falu BS FK	0-2 L	3-0 W
Taby FK	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skiljebo SK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Lidingo

DDLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	3	1	L
15/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
07/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
01/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-3	1	4	L
27/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
14/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-3	1-3	5	5	L
07/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
31/05	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	1	5	D

Skiljebo SK

LWLDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-1	7	6	W
16/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
08/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
14/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	3-1	7	3	W
30/05	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Lidingo vs Skiljebo SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Skiljebo SK win (58%). Probabilities: IFK Lidingo 20%, draw 22%, Skiljebo SK 58%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Lidingo vs Skiljebo SK?

The model expects 3.56 goals (IFK Lidingo 1.29 · Skiljebo SK 2.27), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Lidingo vs Skiljebo SK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.