Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Viggbyholms IK vs Falu BS FK

Team pages: Viggbyholms IK · Falu BS FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Viggbyholms IK1.03

Falu BS FK1.61

1X2

24% 25% 51%

Viggbyholms IK Draw Falu BS FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Viggbyholms IK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLLWDL

Falu BS FK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Viggbyholms IK 1–2–2 Falu BS FK (5 last)

Falu BS FK5-0Viggbyholms IK
Falu BS FK2-0Viggbyholms IK
Viggbyholms IK2-2Falu BS FK
Falu BS FK0-2Viggbyholms IK
Viggbyholms IK0-0Falu BS FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viggbyholms IK 1466 · Falu BS FK 1551

	Viggbyholms IK	Draw	Falu BS FK
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falu BS FK (rating 1466 vs 1551).
H2H favours Falu BS FK: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viggbyholms IK	Falu BS FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
21:08 +6’	3.75	3.70	1.73
01:05 +17’	3.60▼	3.80▲	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viggbyholms IK 1–2–2 Falu BS FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	5-0 HT 1-0	Viggbyholms IK
02/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	2-0 HT 0-0	Viggbyholms IK
10/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	2-2 HT 1-1	Falu BS FK
29/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	0-2 HT 0-2	Viggbyholms IK
01/06/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	0-0 HT 0-0	Falu BS FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	19	12	5	2	47	17	41
2	Skiljebo SK	19	12	5	2	45	22	41
3	Ängby IF	19	11	6	2	35	22	39
4	Falu BS FK	19	11	4	4	30	20	37
5	Enskede IK	19	10	4	5	31	22	34
6	Taby FK	19	10	3	6	34	20	33
7	Bollstanäs SK	19	7	7	5	38	31	28
8	FC Gute	19	7	5	7	31	28	26
9	IK Franke	19	6	4	9	32	32	22
10	Viggbyholms IK	19	4	4	11	17	35	16
11	IFK Lidingo	19	3	5	11	20	39	14
12	Kungsängens IF	19	1	10	8	19	32	13
13	Korsnas IF FK	19	2	5	12	19	45	11
14	Helges IF	19	2	3	14	15	48	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viggbyholms IK	Falu BS FK
IFK Lidingo	3-0 W	2-0 W
Skiljebo SK	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sunnersta AIF	0-2 L	1-3 L
IK Franke	2-1 W	3-1 W
Bollstanäs SK	0-0 D	2-1 W
Korsnas IF FK	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viggbyholms IK

WDDLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
22/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
18/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
13/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
07/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/05	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Falu BS FK

DWLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
27/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
06/06	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viggbyholms IK vs Falu BS FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Falu BS FK win (51%). Probabilities: Viggbyholms IK 24%, draw 25%, Falu BS FK 51%.

How many goals are expected in Viggbyholms IK vs Falu BS FK?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Viggbyholms IK 1.03 · Falu BS FK 1.61), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Viggbyholms IK vs Falu BS FK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.