Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Viggbyholms IK vs Korsnas IF FK

Team pages: Viggbyholms IK · Korsnas IF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Viggbyholms IK1.98

Korsnas IF FK1.14

1X2

56% 24% 21%

Viggbyholms IK Draw Korsnas IF FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Viggbyholms IK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLLLW

Korsnas IF FK 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDLLL

Head-to-head

Viggbyholms IK 2–1 Korsnas IF FK (3 last)

Korsnas IF FK0-1Viggbyholms IK
Korsnas IF FK3-2Viggbyholms IK
Viggbyholms IK1-0Korsnas IF FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viggbyholms IK 1472 · Korsnas IF FK 1376

	Viggbyholms IK	Draw	Korsnas IF FK
Our model	56%	24%	21%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viggbyholms IK (rating 1472 vs 1376).
H2H favours Viggbyholms IK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viggbyholms IK	Korsnas IF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.8 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	0.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +9’	1.60	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viggbyholms IK 2–0–1 Korsnas IF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	0-1 HT 0-0	Viggbyholms IK
14/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	3-2 HT 2-1	Viggbyholms IK
29/03/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	1-0 HT 0-0	Korsnas IF FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	22	15	5	2	53	24	50
2	Sunnersta AIF	22	14	5	3	51	19	47
3	Ängby IF	22	13	6	3	46	25	45
4	Enskede IK	22	13	4	5	36	23	43
5	Falu BS FK	22	12	5	5	35	25	41
6	Taby FK	22	11	5	6	39	24	38
7	FC Gute	22	8	5	9	35	32	29
8	Bollstanäs SK	22	7	7	8	38	42	28
9	IK Franke	22	7	4	11	35	39	25
10	IFK Lidingo	22	5	5	12	26	42	20
11	Kungsängens IF	22	3	10	9	24	34	19
12	Viggbyholms IK	22	5	4	13	21	42	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	22	2	5	15	20	52	11
14	Helges IF	22	2	4	16	19	55	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viggbyholms IK	Korsnas IF FK
Helges IF	4-2 W	0-3 L
FC Gute	0-3 L	1-4 L
Enskede IK	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kungsängens IF	1-1 D	0-2 L
IFK Lidingo	3-0 W	0-3 L
Skiljebo SK	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sunnersta AIF	0-2 L	1-4 L
Ängby IF	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Viggbyholms IK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viggbyholms IK

LWLLWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
12/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
22/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
18/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	0	1	L

Korsnas IF FK

LLLLDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
22/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
16/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
01/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-5	0	2	L
21/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-4	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viggbyholms IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viggbyholms IK win (56%). Probabilities: Viggbyholms IK 56%, draw 24%, Korsnas IF FK 21%.

How many goals are expected in Viggbyholms IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Viggbyholms IK 1.98 · Korsnas IF FK 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viggbyholms IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.