Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Skiljebo SK vs Taby FK

Team pages: Skiljebo SK · Taby FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Skiljebo SK1.95

Taby FK1.24

1X2

53% 23% 24%

Skiljebo SK Draw Taby FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Skiljebo SK 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWWW

Taby FK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWDDW

Head-to-head

Skiljebo SK 2–2–2 Taby FK (6 last)

Taby FK1-0Skiljebo SK
Taby FK2-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK2-0Taby FK
Taby FK2-0Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK2-2Taby FK
Taby FK1-5Skiljebo SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skiljebo SK 1592 · Taby FK 1535

	Skiljebo SK	Draw	Taby FK
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skiljebo SK (rating 1592 vs 1535).
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skiljebo SK	Taby FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +37’	1.67	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skiljebo SK 2–2–2 Taby FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	1-0 HT 0-0	Skiljebo SK
20/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	2-2 HT 2-2	Skiljebo SK
20/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	2-0 HT 2-0	Taby FK
26/06/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	2-0 HT 2-0	Skiljebo SK
13/04/19 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	2-2 HT 1-2	Taby FK
22/09/18 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	1-5 HT 0-4	Skiljebo SK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	22	15	5	2	53	24	50
2	Sunnersta AIF	22	14	5	3	51	19	47
3	Ängby IF	22	13	6	3	46	25	45
4	Enskede IK	22	13	4	5	36	23	43
5	Falu BS FK	22	12	5	5	35	25	41
6	Taby FK	22	11	5	6	39	24	38
7	FC Gute	22	8	5	9	35	32	29
8	Bollstanäs SK	22	7	7	8	38	42	28
9	IK Franke	22	7	4	11	35	39	25
10	IFK Lidingo	22	5	5	12	26	42	20
11	Kungsängens IF	22	3	10	9	24	34	19
12	Viggbyholms IK	22	5	4	13	21	42	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	22	2	5	15	20	52	11
14	Helges IF	22	2	4	16	19	55	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skiljebo SK	Taby FK
Bollstanäs SK	4-0 W	1-2 L
Korsnas IF FK	2-1 W	5-1 W
Sunnersta AIF	2-2 D	0-1 L
IK Franke	3-1 W	2-1 W
Helges IF	4-2 W	1-1 D
Falu BS FK	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skiljebo SK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skiljebo SK

DWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
13/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-1	7	6	W
16/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
08/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-2	4	6	D

Taby FK

WWLWLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
13/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
02/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
27/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
21/06	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skiljebo SK vs Taby FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skiljebo SK win (53%). Probabilities: Skiljebo SK 53%, draw 23%, Taby FK 24%.

How many goals are expected in Skiljebo SK vs Taby FK?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Skiljebo SK 1.95 · Taby FK 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Skiljebo SK vs Taby FK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.