Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: FC Gute vs Skiljebo SK

Team pages: FC Gute · Skiljebo SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

FC Gute1.21

Skiljebo SK2.01

1X2

22% 23% 55%

FC Gute Draw Skiljebo SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Gute 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLWLW

Skiljebo SK 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Gute 1–2–3 Skiljebo SK (6 last)

Skiljebo SK1-1FC Gute
FC Gute1-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK3-2FC Gute
FC Gute2-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK3-2FC Gute
FC Gute1-0Skiljebo SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gute 1499 · Skiljebo SK 1607

	FC Gute	Draw	Skiljebo SK
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skiljebo SK (rating 1499 vs 1607).
H2H favours Skiljebo SK: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Gute	Skiljebo SK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	2.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.10

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:02 +8’	4.00	4.10	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gute 1–2–3 Skiljebo SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Gute
30/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	1-2 HT 1-0	Skiljebo SK
24/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Gute
10/08/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	2-2 HT 1-1	Skiljebo SK
13/04/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Gute
05/08/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Gute	1-0 HT 1-0	Skiljebo SK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	23	16	5	2	54	24	53
2	Sunnersta AIF	23	15	5	3	57	19	50
3	Ängby IF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
4	Enskede IK	23	14	4	5	39	24	46
5	Falu BS FK	23	12	5	6	37	28	41
6	Taby FK	23	11	5	7	39	25	38
7	FC Gute	23	9	5	9	37	33	32
8	IK Franke	23	8	4	11	37	40	28
9	Bollstanäs SK	23	7	7	9	39	45	28
10	IFK Lidingo	23	5	5	13	26	48	20
11	Kungsängens IF	23	3	10	10	25	36	19
12	Viggbyholms IK	23	5	4	14	23	46	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	23	3	5	15	24	54	14
14	Helges IF	23	2	4	17	20	57	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Gute	Skiljebo SK
Helges IF	2-1 W	4-2 W
Viggbyholms IK	3-0 W	2-1 W
IK Franke	0-1 L	3-1 W
IFK Lidingo	4-0 W	2-1 W
Korsnas IF FK	4-1 W	2-1 W
Bollstanäs SK	2-3 L	4-0 W
Kungsängens IF	4-1 W	3-1 W
Taby FK	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gute

LWLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
19/09	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
29/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
27/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	2	2	L

Skiljebo SK

WWWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
19/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
13/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-1	7	6	W
16/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
08/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gute vs Skiljebo SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Skiljebo SK win (55%). Probabilities: FC Gute 22%, draw 23%, Skiljebo SK 55%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gute vs Skiljebo SK?

The model expects 3.21 goals (FC Gute 1.21 · Skiljebo SK 2.01), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gute vs Skiljebo SK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.