Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Kungsängens IF vs Sunnersta AIF

Team pages: Kungsängens IF · Sunnersta AIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Kungsängens IF1.05

Sunnersta AIF2.13

1X2

17% 21% 62%

Kungsängens IF Draw Sunnersta AIF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kungsängens IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDWLWL

Sunnersta AIF 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Kungsängens IF 0–3 Sunnersta AIF (3 last)

Sunnersta AIF4-1Kungsängens IF
Sunnersta AIF3-0Kungsängens IF
Kungsängens IF0-1Sunnersta AIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kungsängens IF 1463 · Sunnersta AIF 1569

	Kungsängens IF	Draw	Sunnersta AIF
Our model	17%	22%	61%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sunnersta AIF (rating 1463 vs 1569).
H2H favours Sunnersta AIF: 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kungsängens IF	Sunnersta AIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00
X	4.60 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +14’	5.50	4.60	1.40
15:07 +20’	5.00▼	4.50▼	1.44▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kungsängens IF 0–0–3 Sunnersta AIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Sunnersta AIF	4-1 HT 3-1	Kungsängens IF
17/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Sunnersta AIF	3-0 HT 1-0	Kungsängens IF
19/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Kungsängens IF	0-1 HT 0-0	Sunnersta AIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	23	16	5	2	54	24	53
2	Sunnersta AIF	23	15	5	3	57	19	50
3	Ängby IF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
4	Enskede IK	23	14	4	5	39	24	46
5	Falu BS FK	23	12	5	6	37	28	41
6	Taby FK	23	11	5	7	39	25	38
7	FC Gute	23	9	5	9	37	33	32
8	IK Franke	23	8	4	11	37	40	28
9	Bollstanäs SK	23	7	7	9	39	45	28
10	IFK Lidingo	23	5	5	13	26	48	20
11	Kungsängens IF	23	3	10	10	25	36	19
12	Viggbyholms IK	23	5	4	14	23	46	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	23	3	5	15	24	54	14
14	Helges IF	23	2	4	17	20	57	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kungsängens IF	Sunnersta AIF
IK Franke	1-2 L	2-1 W
Falu BS FK	3-1 W	3-1 W
Enskede IK	0-1 L	0-1 L
Helges IF	1-1 D	3-0 W
Viggbyholms IK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Ängby IF	1-1 D	2-4 L
IFK Lidingo	0-1 L	6-0 W
Skiljebo SK	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sunnersta AIF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kungsängens IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
12/09	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
05/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
22/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
15/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
01/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/06	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-3	3	2	L

Sunnersta AIF

WWWWLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	6-0	–	–	W
20/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
12/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
06/09	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
29/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	2-2	5	2	D
22/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-4	5	5	L
16/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
08/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
02/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	13	4	W
25/06	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kungsängens IF vs Sunnersta AIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sunnersta AIF win (62%). Probabilities: Kungsängens IF 17%, draw 21%, Sunnersta AIF 62%.

How many goals are expected in Kungsängens IF vs Sunnersta AIF?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Kungsängens IF 1.05 · Sunnersta AIF 2.13), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kungsängens IF vs Sunnersta AIF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.