Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Taby FK vs Viggbyholms IK

Team pages: Taby FK · Viggbyholms IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Taby FK2.32

Viggbyholms IK1.17

1X2

62% 21% 17%

Taby FK Draw Viggbyholms IK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Taby FK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDDWL

Viggbyholms IK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Taby FK 2–1 Viggbyholms IK (3 last)

Viggbyholms IK2-4Taby FK
Viggbyholms IK0-4Taby FK
Taby FK2-4Viggbyholms IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taby FK 1534 · Viggbyholms IK 1436

	Taby FK	Draw	Viggbyholms IK
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	62%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taby FK (rating 1534 vs 1436).
H2H favours Taby FK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taby FK	Viggbyholms IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.40

25.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40
2	5.20 → 5.20	Bet365 5.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +3’	1.44	4.40	5.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taby FK 2–0–1 Viggbyholms IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	2-4 HT 0-2	Taby FK
18/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	0-4 HT 0-1	Taby FK
03/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Taby FK	2-4 HT 1-3	Viggbyholms IK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	23	16	5	2	54	24	53
2	Sunnersta AIF	23	15	5	3	57	19	50
3	Ängby IF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
4	Enskede IK	23	14	4	5	39	24	46
5	Falu BS FK	23	12	5	6	37	28	41
6	Taby FK	23	11	5	7	39	25	38
7	FC Gute	23	9	5	9	37	33	32
8	IK Franke	23	8	4	11	37	40	28
9	Bollstanäs SK	23	7	7	9	39	45	28
10	IFK Lidingo	23	5	5	13	26	48	20
11	Kungsängens IF	23	3	10	10	25	36	19
12	Viggbyholms IK	23	5	4	14	23	46	19
13	Korsnas IF FK	23	3	5	15	24	54	14
14	Helges IF	23	2	4	17	20	57	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taby FK	Viggbyholms IK
Skiljebo SK	0-1 L	1-2 L
Falu BS FK	2-2 D	0-2 L
Helges IF	1-1 D	4-2 W
IK Franke	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sunnersta AIF	0-1 L	0-2 L
Korsnas IF FK	5-1 W	2-4 L
Enskede IK	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Gute	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Taby FK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taby FK

WLWLLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
19/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
13/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
02/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
27/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	7	2	W

Viggbyholms IK

WLLWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-2	2-4	2	3	L
20/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
12/09	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
22/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
15/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taby FK vs Viggbyholms IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taby FK win (62%). Probabilities: Taby FK 62%, draw 21%, Viggbyholms IK 17%.

How many goals are expected in Taby FK vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Taby FK 2.32 · Viggbyholms IK 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Taby FK vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.